Compass Group (CMPGY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $55.6B
Compass Group
CMPGY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $26.90 – $35.53 · fair‑value band $17.48 – $30.23 · the $31.20 price screens above the $24.18 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Compass Group (CMPGY) currently trades at $31.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.18, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Compass Group generated revenue of $48.5B at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.9%. Net debt stands at $6.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.48 (bear case) to $30.23 (bull case); at $31.20, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -23%, CMPGY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Compass Group PLC provides food and support services in North America and internationally. The company offers support services, such as cleaning in hospitals; reception services at corporate headquarters; managing remote camps; grounds and facilities services at schools and universities; insurance brokerage services; and others. It serves business and industry; healthcare and senior living; education; sports and leisure; and defense, offshore, and remote sectors. The company was founded in 1941 and is based in Chertsey, the United Kingdom.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Compass Group reported revenue of $46.1B in FY2025 versus $17.9B in FY2021, a compound +26.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding +51.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Significant Increase in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd by iShares MSCI ACWI ex U.S. ETF
- How The Compass Group (LSE:CPG) Narrative Is Shifting With Refined Fair Value Assumptions
- How The Compass Group (LSE:CPG) Story Is Shifting With New Targets And Recycling Trial
- Compass Group Marks 10 Years of Stop Food Waste Day with Measurable Impact and Next-Generation Technology Partnership
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SRB | €84.94 | €18.42 | -78% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $30.54 | $26.56 | -13% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $151.08 | $91.11 | -40% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$101.34 | C$60.84 | -40% |
| Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF | $77.57 | $43.31 | -44% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 | R$255.98 | R$33.46 | -87% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $41.53 | $48.96 | +18% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $170.46 | $101.50 | -40% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $60.28 | $14.33 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.