Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Catalyst Media Group PLC £0.40, price £0.43, upside -5.9%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.3040 – £1.36 · fair‑value band £0.2500 – £0.5900 · the £0.4250 price screens above the £0.4000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Catalyst Media Group plc, engages in the provision of business administrative services worldwide. Its services focus on managing the strategic investment in Sports Information Services (Holdings) Ltd (SIS), including the provision of services to SIS and the management of overheads.
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Catalyst Media Group plc, engages in the provision of business administrative services worldwide. Its services focus on managing the strategic investment in Sports Information Services (Holdings) Ltd (SIS), including the provision of services to SIS and the management of overheads. The company provides betting services to retail and online operators that offers end-to-end solution of live pictures and data on-screen graphics with betting triggers and a range of markets and prices. In addition, it provides retail solutions, including horse and greyhound racing, virtual and numbers content, and other sports. Catalyst Media Group plc was incorporated in 2000 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX) currently trades at £0.4250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.4000, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of £0.9900 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the £0.4250 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.1400, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.2500 (bear) to £0.5900 (bull), the price of £0.4250 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Catalyst Media Group PLC reported revenue of £25.0K in FY2025 versus £25.0K in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was £387K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 8.9M GBX · P/E ratio 14.0 · EPS (TTM) £0.0300 · Dividend yield 8.9% · Net margin 4,674% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin −6,426%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at −6%, CMX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.2500Fair Value £0.4000Bull £0.5900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0300 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−60.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−69.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−394% → −496%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.6% a year for the price.
Compare Catalyst Media Group PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 57 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−90% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)8.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catalyst Media Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMX
Frequently asked questions
Is Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.4000 versus a price of £0.4250, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CMX?
Our model-based fair value for Catalyst Media Group PLC is £0.4000 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.4250.
What is the quality score of CMX?
Catalyst Media Group PLC has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.4000 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.2500, optimistic scenario £0.5900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Catalyst Media Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.4000, about −6% upside versus a price of £0.4250 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £0.2500, optimistic scenario £0.5900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Catalyst Media Group PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £13.7K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Catalyst Media Group PLC pay a dividend?
Catalyst Media Group PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Catalyst Media Group PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CMX use?
Our models discount Catalyst Media Group PLC at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Catalyst Media Group PLC that is +6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Catalyst Media Group PLC grew +0.0 % a year. The price currently implies +6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Catalyst Media Group PLC (+6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.85 %: that much free cash flow Catalyst Media Group PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Catalyst Media Group PLC it is £0.4000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.4250. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Catalyst Media Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CMX trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.4250, fair value £0.4000, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.4250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.4000). For Catalyst Media Group PLC the two are £0.0250 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Catalyst Media Group PLC worth?
The market values Catalyst Media Group PLC at about 8.9M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.4250; our models calculate a fair value of £0.4000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMX?
Our models span a range for Catalyst Media Group PLC: cautious scenario £0.2500, base £0.4000, optimistic £0.5900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.4250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CMX?
Catalyst Media Group PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.4000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Catalyst Media Group PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.1%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CMX from its 52-week high?
Catalyst Media Group PLC trades at £0.4250, about 23% below its 52-week high of £0.5500 and at the low of £0.4250 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.4000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Catalyst Media Group PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Flutter Entertainment plc, Evolution AB, The Lottery Corporation, Rush Street Interactive, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Catalyst Media Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.4250, calculated fair value £0.4000 (−6%), Quality Score 65/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMX calculated?
We run Catalyst Media Group PLC through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.4000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Catalyst Media Group PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.4250. Our model-based fair value is £0.4000, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Catalyst Media Group PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (£0.2500 to £0.5900) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Catalyst Media Group PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The market capitalisation of Catalyst Media Group PLC is 8.9M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Earnings per share at Catalyst Media Group PLC are £0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The dividend yield of Catalyst Media Group PLC is 8.9% (payout 126%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The net margin of Catalyst Media Group PLC is 4,674% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Catalyst Media Group PLC is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Catalyst Media Group PLC is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
The operating margin of Catalyst Media Group PLC is −6,426% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Revenue at Catalyst Media Group PLC is growing −90.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX)?
Earnings per share at Catalyst Media Group PLC are growing +152% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Catalyst Media Group PLC (CMX) hold?
Catalyst Media Group PLC holds more cash than debt, 207K GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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