ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc $3.45, price $4.25, upside -18.7%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range $0.0035 – $79.68 · fair‑value band $1.96 – $6.10 · the $4.25 price screens above the $3.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. provides a digital platform for the electrification and decarbonization of homeowners in the United States and India. It operates through Owned Service Network, Managed Solutions, Logistics, Transportation, Distributed Energy & Renewables segments.
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ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. provides a digital platform for the electrification and decarbonization of homeowners in the United States and India. It operates through Owned Service Network, Managed Solutions, Logistics, Transportation, Distributed Energy & Renewables segments. The Owned Service Network segment, consists of owned service providers who serve as a single point solution provider for enterprises, infrastructure providers, homeowners, and light commercial building owners for their electrification and decarbonization needs, including system design, installation, monitoring, maintenance and repair; and uses a technology platform, which provides maintenance, repair, and installation guidance and optimization. The Managed solutions segment provides third party residential and light commercial service. The logistics segment focuses on the facilitation of business-to-business transportation of heavy goods using last-mile delivery software. The Transportation segment focuses on the sale of hardware, software and technical services for electric vehicles to original equipment manufacturers. The Distributed Energy & Renewables segments focuses on the delivery of solar energy and distributed energy solutions. It also provides electrification and decarbonization applications for residential and light commercial buildings; and OEMs offers smart features to their end customers. In addition, the company offers heat pumps, highly efficient air conditioners, fuel-efficient heating systems; solar roof, battery storage, electric vehicles, weatherization, HVAC, solar, battery, and EV charger installation. It serves service providers and end customers. ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) currently trades at $4.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.45, 18.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $1.96 (bear) to $6.10 (bull), the price of $4.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc reported revenue of $35.8M in FY2025 versus $4.3M in FY2021, a compound +69.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $28.6M · P/E ratio 2.6 · P/S ratio 0.77 · EPS (TTM) $1.62 · Net margin −45.3% · Return on equity −457% · Return on assets (EBIT) −225% · Operating margin −26.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −19%, CNTM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.96Fair Value $3.45Bull $6.10
Price $4.25 · Upside -18.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.27 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+58.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.4%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−77.6% (2021) → −33.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (20 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 652 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−18.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−17.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−26.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)2.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)8· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Is ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.45 versus a price of $4.25, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNTM?
Our model-based fair value for ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is $3.45 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.25.
What is the quality score of CNTM?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.45 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $6.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.45, about −19% upside versus a price of $4.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.96, optimistic scenario $6.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $37.1M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc it is $3.45 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $4.25. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, CNTM trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.25, fair value $3.45, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.45). For ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc the two are $0.7960 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc worth?
The market values ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc at about $28.6M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $4.25; our models calculate a fair value of $3.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNTM?
Our models span a range for ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc: cautious scenario $1.96, base $3.45, optimistic $6.10 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $4.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CNTM?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.45 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (as of Oct 3, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CNTM from its 52-week high?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc trades at $4.25, about 73% below its 52-week high of $16.00 and 9% above the low of $3.90 (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $4.25, calculated fair value $3.45 (−19%), Quality Score 40/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNTM calculated?
We run ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was $4.25. Our model-based fair value is $3.45, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc right now?
Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($1.96 to $6.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
The market capitalisation of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is $28.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is 0.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
Earnings per share at ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc are $1.62 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
The net margin of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is −45.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is −457% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is −225% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
The operating margin of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is −26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
Revenue at ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is growing +24.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) generate?
The free cash flow of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is −$9.8B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) hold?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc holds more cash than debt, $2.9B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026