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Cochin Shipyard Limited (COCHINSHIP) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹383B

CS Cochin Shipyard Limited COCHINSHIP · NSE
Price₹1,506
Fair Value₹592.88
Upside-60.6%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.61% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range ₹398.41 – ₹770.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹329.38 to ₹592.88 (+80.0%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price +6.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹770.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹398.41 to ₹770.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,827 ₹133.92 Fair Value ₹592.88 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹133.92 – ₹2,827 · fair‑value band ₹398.41 – ₹770.76 · the ₹1,506 price screens above the ₹592.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Cochin Shipyard Limited (COCHINSHIP) currently trades at ₹1,506, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹592.88, implying the stock looks roughly 60.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cochin Shipyard Limited generated revenue of ₹50.2B at a net margin of 14.3%. Revenue declined 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹7.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹398.41 (bear case) to ₹770.76 (bull case); at ₹1,506, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -61%, COCHINSHIP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹211.29 ₹256.17 ₹558.75 76
ROIC Compounder ₹252.46 ₹317.87 ₹397.52 72
Gordon GGM ₹93.79 ₹204.75 ₹344.50 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹403.31 ₹675.49 ₹1,174 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹185.26 ₹870.55 ₹1,197 54
Lynch FV ₹230.57 ₹329.38 ₹428.20 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹230.57 ₹329.38 ₹428.20 46
EPV ₹242.35 ₹269.14 ₹292.94 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹93.79 ₹204.75 ₹344.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹93.79 ₹167.72 ₹213.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹429.09 ₹572.13 ₹715.16 63
P/S Multiple ₹286.33 ₹381.77 ₹477.22 58
P/B Multiple ₹347.36 ₹463.15 ₹578.94 55
EV/EBIT ₹420.90 ₹531.01 ₹641.12 53
EV/EBITDA ₹391.28 ₹491.52 ₹591.75 54
EV/Revenue ₹326.34 ₹427.38 ₹528.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹111.62 ₹149.56 ₹223.23 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹211.29 ₹256.17 ₹558.75 76
ROIC Compounder ₹252.46 ₹317.87 ₹397.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹364.94 ₹521.34 ₹677.74 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹675.49) versus Asset-Based (₹149.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹50.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.6%
Net margin 14.3%
Return on equity 12.5%
Free cash flow −₹13.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 53.4
More key figures
Operating margin 18.7%
EPS (TTM) ₹27.27
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.8%
Net cash ₹7.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cochin Shipyard Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the building and repair of ships and offshore structures in India and internationally. It operates through two segments, Shipbuilding and Ship Repair.

Full company description

Cochin Shipyard Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the building and repair of ships and offshore structures in India and internationally. It operates through two segments, Shipbuilding and Ship Repair. The company offers shipbuilding products, including aircraft carriers, missile vessels, anti-submarine warfare shallow water crafts, technology demonstration vessels, floating border outpost vessels, fast patrol vessels, hydrographic survey vessels, offshore patrol vessels, and pollution control vessels for the defence market; oil tankers, bulk carriers, dredgers, pax vessels, tugs, special purpose vessels, deck cargo/jacket launch barges, electric autonomous vessels and passenger ferries, ro-pax vessels, specialised fishing vessels, marine ambulances, zero emission feeder container vessels, and commissioning and hybrid operation vessels for the commercial market; and platform supply vessels and anchor handling/tug supply vessels for the offshore market, as well as product carriers, high bollard pull tugs, air defence ships, and other vessels. It also provides ship repair services, such as maintenance and repair of aircraft carriers and other defense vessels, as well as tankers, bulk carriers, and other commercial and specialized vessels; oil rig upgradation, repair projects, and conversion services; and upgradation of ships for oil exploration, periodical maintenance, and life extension services. In addition, the company offers marine engineering training services. The company exports its products in the United Arab Emirates, Bahamas, Cyprus, Germany, Saudi Arabia, the Netherlands, Norway, the United States, and Liberia. Cochin Shipyard Limited was founded in 1969 and is based in Ernakulam, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Cochin Shipyard Limited reported revenue of ₹50.2B in FY2026 versus ₹31.9B in FY2022, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹7.2B in FY2026, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹50.2B
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Revenue +12.0%/yr
FY22 ₹31.9B
FY23 ₹23.6B
FY24 ₹38.3B
FY25 ₹48.2B
FY26 ₹50.2B
Net income +6.2%/yr
FY22 ₹5.6B
FY23 ₹3.0B
FY24 ₹7.8B
FY25 ₹8.3B
FY26 ₹7.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +9.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.9 pp

of which total revenue +10.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.5 pp

EBIT margin −0.2 pp
Tax rate +1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

COCHINSHIP screens 61% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cochin Shipyard Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COCHINSHIP

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 44.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 48
PAST 50 · sector 37
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

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RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Cochin Shipyard Limited (COCHINSHIP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹592.88 versus a price of ₹1,506, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COCHINSHIP?
Our model-based fair value for Cochin Shipyard Limited is ₹592.88 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1,506.
What is the quality score of COCHINSHIP?
Cochin Shipyard Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cochin Shipyard Limited (COCHINSHIP)?
Cochin Shipyard Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹50.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COCHINSHIP?
The net profit margin of Cochin Shipyard Limited is about 14.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cochin Shipyard Limited pay a dividend?
Cochin Shipyard Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.61% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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