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Coda Octopus Group (CODA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $113M

CO Coda Octopus Group logo Coda Octopus Group CODA · US
Price$10.64
Fair Value$7.32
Upside-31.2%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $5.49 – $9.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $7.73 to $7.32 (−5.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.2% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.76 $4.77 Fair Value $7.32 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.77 – $16.76 · fair‑value band $5.49 – $9.15 · the $10.64 price screens above the $7.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Coda Octopus Group (CODA) currently trades at $10.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.32, implying the stock looks roughly 31.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Coda Octopus Group generated revenue of $28.0M at a net margin of 17.7%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $28.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.49 (bear case) to $9.15 (bull case); at $10.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -31%, CODA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.91 $8.26 $9.80 80
Residual Income $3.76 $3.80 $3.60 76
Rev-Margin DCF $6.38 $8.22 $10.30 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.89 $8.42 $10.29 38
Owner Earnings $5.67 $6.78 $8.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $6.38 $8.17 $10.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.96 $9.24 $11.82 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.14 $9.57 $12.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit $6.48 $7.99 $9.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.88 $8.62 $10.80 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.97 $8.81 $10.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.49 $7.00 $9.21 54
Lynch FV $1.42 $2.02 $2.63 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.42 $2.02 $2.63 46
EPV $4.53 $4.77 $4.97 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.49 $7.32 $9.15 63
P/S Multiple $4.42 $5.89 $7.36 58
P/B Multiple $4.67 $6.22 $7.78 55
EV/EBIT $7.97 $9.77 $11.58 53
EV/EBITDA $7.66 $9.37 $11.08 54
EV/Revenue $6.20 $7.76 $9.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.58 $3.45 $5.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.91 $8.26 $9.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.38 $8.22 $10.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.76 $3.80 $3.60 76
ROIC Compounder $4.53 $4.77 $4.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.41 $6.30 $8.19 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.42) versus Earnings-Based ($2.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $28.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net margin 17.7%
Return on equity 8.4%
Free cash flow $6.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.7
More key figures
Operating margin 26.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.4400
EPS growth (YoY) +87.5%
Net cash $28.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Coda Octopus Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, sells and rentals underwater technologies and equipment for real time 3D imaging, mapping, defense, and survey applications in the United States, Europe, Australia, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.

Full company description

Coda Octopus Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, sells and rentals underwater technologies and equipment for real time 3D imaging, mapping, defense, and survey applications in the United States, Europe, Australia, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through three segments: Marine Technology Business, Acoustic Sensors and Materials Business, and Defense Engineering Services Business. The Marine Technology Business offers geophysical range of products, such as GeoSurvey, a software and hardware package for acquisition and processing of sidescan sonar and sub-bottom profiler data in oil and gas companies; DA4G, a geophysical hardware; and Survey Engine, a software product that provides post-processing solutions for sidescan sonar and sub-bottom profiler data; inertial positioning and attitude measurement systems; and real-time volumetric imaging sonar systems under the Echoscope, Echoscope PIPE, and Echoscope PIPE NANO Gen Series brands, as well as the Diver Augmented Vision Display (DAVD) system, digital audio communication systems, GNSS-aided inertial navigation systems, and geophysical hardware and software solutions. These products are used in underwater construction, offshore renewables, oil and gas, complex mapping, salvage operations, defense, robotics, autonomous underwater vehicles, marine sciences, and port security. The Acoustic Sensors and Materials Business provides acoustic sensors, hydrophones, innovative acoustic materials, and calibration services, such as the medical, subsea, defense, and research sectors, with a focus on medical imaging and non-destructive testing. The Defense Engineering Services Business designs, manufactures, and supplies embedded solutions and sub-assemblies for integration into mission-critical defense systems, supporting programs such as Raytheon's Close-In Weapon Support and Northrop Grumman's Mine Hunting System. Coda Octopus Group, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coda Octopus Group reported revenue of $26.6M in FY2025 versus $21.3M in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $4.1M in FY2025, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$26.6M
Latest YoY
+30.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Revenue +5.6%/yr
FY21 $21.3M
FY22 $22.2M
FY23 $19.4M
FY24 $20.3M
FY25 $26.6M
Net income −4.4%/yr
FY21 $4.9M
FY22 $4.3M
FY23 $3.1M
FY24 $3.6M
FY25 $4.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −5.3 pp

of which total revenue +1.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.0 pp

EBIT margin −1.4 pp
Tax rate −2.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CODA screens 31% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coda Octopus Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CODA

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −31% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.94× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.04× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 34 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coda Octopus Group (CODA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.32 versus a price of $10.64, about −31% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CODA?
Our model-based fair value for Coda Octopus Group is $7.32 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.64.
What is the quality score of CODA?
Coda Octopus Group has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coda Octopus Group (CODA)?
Coda Octopus Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $28.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CODA?
The net profit margin of Coda Octopus Group is about 17.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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