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Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, (COLZF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.7B

CC Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, logo Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, COLZF · US
Price$1.68
Fair Value$2.14
Upside+27.4%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range $1.61 – $3.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $2.16 to $2.14 (−0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Below-average quality, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($1.61 to $3.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $1.61 (bear) to $3.71 (bull), base $2.14. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.41 $0.4569 Fair Value $2.14 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4569 – $2.41 · fair‑value band $1.61 – $3.71 · the $1.68 price screens below the $2.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, (COLZF) currently trades at $1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.14, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, generated revenue of $138B at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 10.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.0%. Net debt stands at $24.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.61 (bear case) to $3.71 (bull case); at $1.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 27%, COLZF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.49 $2.88 $5.11 80
Residual Income $0.6833 $0.9084 $2.76 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.98 $3.72 $7.36 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.59 $2.47 $5.22 38
Owner Earnings $0.8452 $1.92 $4.10 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.78 $3.25 $6.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.20 $4.10 $7.82 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.61 $3.64 $6.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.68 $4.03 $5.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.05 $4.91 $9.99 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.63 $3.67 $7.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7276 $5.07 $7.12 54
Lynch FV $2.62 $3.74 $4.87 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.62 $3.74 $4.87 46
EPV $1.50 $1.75 $1.96 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.60 $2.14 $2.67 63
P/S Multiple $1.36 $1.82 $2.27 58
P/B Multiple $1.36 $1.82 $2.27 55
EV/EBIT $2.51 $3.35 $4.20 53
EV/EBITDA $2.36 $3.17 $3.97 54
EV/Revenue $1.68 $2.41 $3.15 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3293 $0.4412 $0.6587 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.49 $2.88 $5.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.98 $3.72 $7.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6833 $0.9084 $2.76 76
ROIC Compounder $2.05 $3.29 $4.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.38 $4.83 $6.27 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($4.83) versus Asset-Based ($0.4412). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $138B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.7%
Net margin 9.2%
Return on equity 22.0%
Free cash flow $13.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) +214%
Net debt $24.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, sale, and distribution of sparkling and still beverages in Turkey, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Central Asia, and the Middle East. The company offers soft drinks, fruit juice, iced teas, water and sparkling water, sports and energy drinks, and coffee.

Full company description

Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, sale, and distribution of sparkling and still beverages in Turkey, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Central Asia, and the Middle East. The company offers soft drinks, fruit juice, iced teas, water and sparkling water, sports and energy drinks, and coffee. It sells its products under the Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Coca-Cola Light, Diet Coke, Fanta, Sprite, Sprite Zero Calories, Crush, Crystal Cola, Schweppes, Fusetea, Cappy, Piko, Damla, Damla Minera, Bon Aqua, Al Waha, Arwa, Dasani, Dasani Minera, Kinley, Kinley Soda, Power Ade, Monster Energy, Burn, Roar, Predator Energy, and Costa Coffee brands. Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, reported revenue of $187B in FY2025 versus $21.9B in FY2021, a compound +70.9%/yr. Reported net income was $14.1B in FY2025, compounding +57.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$187B
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+26.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+67.0%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+39.5%
Revenue +70.9%/yr
FY21 $21.9B
FY22 $93.2B
FY23 $146B
FY24 $180B
FY25 $187B
Net income +57.8%/yr
FY21 $2.3B
FY22 $13.9B
FY23 $29.7B
FY24 $19.4B
FY25 $14.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COLZF

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 70 · sector 28
FUTURE 54 · sector 46
PAST 88 · sector 49
HEALTH 82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, (COLZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.14 versus a price of $1.68, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COLZF?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, is $2.14 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.68.
What is the quality score of COLZF?
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, (COLZF)?
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $138B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COLZF?
The net profit margin of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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