Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi $4.72, price $1.68, upside +181.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.4600 – $2.41 · fair‑value band $2.42 – $6.14 · the $1.68 price screens below the $4.72 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, sale, and distribution of sparkling and still beverages in Turkey, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Central Asia, and the Middle East. The company offers soft drinks, fruit juice, iced teas, water and sparkling water, sports and energy drinks, and coffee.
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Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, sale, and distribution of sparkling and still beverages in Turkey, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Central Asia, and the Middle East. The company offers soft drinks, fruit juice, iced teas, water and sparkling water, sports and energy drinks, and coffee. It sells its products under the Coca-Cola, Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Coca-Cola Light, Diet Coke, Fanta, Sprite, Sprite Zero Calories, Crush, Crystal Cola, Schweppes, Fusetea, Cappy, Piko, Damla, Damla Minera, Bon Aqua, Al Waha, Arwa, Dasani, Dasani Minera, Kinley, Kinley Soda, Power Ade, Monster Energy, Burn, Roar, Predator Energy, and Costa Coffee brands. Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF) currently trades at $1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.72, implying the stock looks roughly 64.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $5.07 per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the $1.68 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.9402, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.42 (bear) to $6.14 (bull), the price of $1.68 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 187B TRY in FY2025 versus 21.9B TRY in FY2021, a compound +70.9%/yr. Reported net income was 14.1B TRY in FY2025, compounding +57.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $4.7B · P/E ratio 12.0 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) $0.1400 · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 22.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.9% · Revenue (TTM) 138B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 181%, COLZF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.42Fair Value $4.72Bull $6.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1024 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+67.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +39.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+20.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in TRY, Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price and +0.7% for the forecasts.
Compare Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+181% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)22% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
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Is Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.72 versus a price of $1.68, about +181% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of COLZF?
Our model-based fair value for Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is $4.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.68.
What is the quality score of COLZF?
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.42, optimistic scenario $6.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.72, about +181% upside versus a price of $1.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.42, optimistic scenario $6.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 138B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi would have to grow free cash flow by +5.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +67.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of COLZF use?
Our models discount Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi that is +5.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi grew +67.1 % a year. The price currently implies +5.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (+5.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.88 %: that much free cash flow Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi it is $4.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.68. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, COLZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.68, fair value $4.72, a gap of about +181% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COLZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.72). For Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi the two are $3.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi at about $4.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.68; our models calculate a fair value of $4.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COLZF?
Our models span a range for Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario $2.42, base $4.72, optimistic $6.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COLZF?
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.72 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.0%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COLZF from its 52-week high?
Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi trades at $1.68, about 5% below its 52-week high of $1.76 and 54% above the low of $1.09 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.68, calculated fair value $4.72 (+181%), Quality Score 43/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COLZF calculated?
We run Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi currently trades 181 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $1.68. Our model-based fair value is $4.72, about +181% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($2.42 to $6.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi
How large is the market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
The market capitalisation of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is $4.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi are $0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
The net margin of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is 22.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is 13.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Revenue at Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is growing +10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF)?
Earnings per share at Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi are growing +214% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (COLZF) carry?
The net debt of Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi is 24.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026