Capital Trade Links Ltd (CTL) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹2.8B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹2.56 – ₹32.59 · the ₹29.31 price screens above the ₹3.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Capital Trade Links Ltd (CTL) currently trades at ₹29.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.39, implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Capital Trade Links Ltd generated revenue of ₹178M at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 136.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at ₹1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -88%, CTL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹6.21) versus Multiples (₹2.48). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Capital Trade Links Limited, a non-deposit accepting non-banking financial company, provides loans and financing services in India. The company offers personal, business mobile, commercial vehicle, e-vehicle, e-rickshaw, consumer and equipment, and secured and unsecured corporate loans; loans against properties and security; and business trading services.
Full company description
Capital Trade Links Limited, a non-deposit accepting non-banking financial company, provides loans and financing services in India. The company offers personal, business mobile, commercial vehicle, e-vehicle, e-rickshaw, consumer and equipment, and secured and unsecured corporate loans; loans against properties and security; and business trading services. It serves individuals, partnership firms, entrepreneurs, body corporate/business clients, and other legal entities. Capital Trade Links Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Capital Trade Links Ltd reported revenue of ₹327M in FY2026 versus ₹97.0M in FY2022, a compound +35.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹18.8M in FY2026, compounding −6.6%/yr from FY2022.
CTL screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 336 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $359.42 | $198.27 | -45% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $573.72 | $221.87 | -61% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,093 | ₹397.70 | -64% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,117 | ₹553.83 | -50% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,866 | ₹796.47 | -57% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹367.05 | ₹149.40 | -59% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹376.50 | ₹615.85 | +64% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹2,876 | ₹3,429 | +19% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.35 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
| REC Limited RECLTD | ₹346.00 | ₹692.00 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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