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CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of CTW Cayman Class A $1.10, price $2.10, upside -47.8%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · US

CC CTW Cayman Class A logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

CTW Cayman Class A

CTW · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.10 · Strongly overvalued (−48%)
!Quality 50/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −59.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4.44 $1.21 Fair Value $1.10 Aug 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

14‑month range $1.21 – $4.44 · fair‑value band $0.8245 – $1.37 · the $2.10 price screens above the $1.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

CTW operates a web-based gaming platform in Japan and Singapore. The company offers an immersive digital space through its flagship HTML5 platform, G123.jp, which provides a selection of free-to-play games inspired by Japanese animations.

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CTW operates a web-based gaming platform in Japan and Singapore. The company offers an immersive digital space through its flagship HTML5 platform, G123.jp, which provides a selection of free-to-play games inspired by Japanese animations. It also engages in the provision of removing barriers to gameplay, including downloads, installations, and mandatory registrations through different types of devices comprising mobile devices and PCs. In addition, the company offers support to game developers, such as game distribution support, localization and translation of in-game content, and IP related design support; sound effects, music, and interface elements; game distribution services consisting of hosting games on its platform and distributing games through its network and server resources, and related software and systems. Further, it provides marketing services and customer support. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. CTW operates as a subsidiary of CTW (BVI) LTD.

Stock analysis

CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares (CTW) currently trades at $2.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.10, implying the stock looks roughly 91.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.20 per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the $2.10 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.3700, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.8245 (bear) to $1.37 (bull), the price of $2.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $90.4M in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2019, a compound −53.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8M in FY2025, compounding −63.7%/yr from FY2019.

Key figures

Market cap $145M · P/E ratio 77.3 · P/S ratio 3.28 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% · Operating margin −1.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at −48%, CTW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.8245 Fair Value $1.10 Bull $1.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0300 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $6.56 $8.20 $10.84 75
Residual Income $0.4800 $0.5500 $0.8800 69
Graham-Dodd $0.5200 $0.6300 $0.7100 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $6.56 $8.20 $10.84 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5200 $0.6300 $0.7100 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.20 $1.60 $1.99 63
P/S Multiple $0.9700 $1.29 $1.61 58
P/B Multiple $0.9700 $1.29 $1.61 55
EV/EBITDA $1.03 $1.29 $1.56 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2700 $0.3700 $0.5500 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.4800 $0.5500 $0.8800 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8400 $1.21 $1.57 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 17/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+32.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−59.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −36.8% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
35.4% (2020) → −1.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

CTW screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Konami Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 149 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −48% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 5.24× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)59 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $206.32 $75.97 −63%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $48.99 $46.00 −6%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.62 ¥27.63 +89%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 198,000 KRW 395,557 KRW +100%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥24.33 ¥31.97 +31%
International Games System Co 3293 729.00 TWD 1,094 TWD +50%
CD Projekt S.A CDR 249.30 PLN 274.23 PLN +10%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥17.83 ¥38.44 +116%

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CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares · Fair Value
$1.10 −91%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTW

Frequently asked questions

Is CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.10 versus a price of $2.10, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CTW?
Our model-based fair value for CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is $1.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.10.
What is the quality score of CTW?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8245, optimistic scenario $1.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.10, about −48% upside versus a price of $2.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.8245, optimistic scenario $1.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $90.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares it is $1.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.10. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CTW trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.10, fair value $1.10, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.10). For CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $1.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares at about $145M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.10; our models calculate a fair value of $1.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTW?
Our models span a range for CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.8245, base $1.10, optimistic $1.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTW?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 77.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.2, P/S 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Balance-sheet figures for CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 14.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTW from its 52-week high?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $2.10, about 30% below its 52-week high of $3.01 and 74% above the low of $1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Konami Group, NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.10, calculated fair value $1.10 (−48%), Quality Score 50/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTW calculated?
We run CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $2.10. Our model-based fair value is $1.10, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The market capitalisation of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is $145M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is 3.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Earnings per share at CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 77.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The net margin of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The operating margin of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Revenue at CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is growing +40.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −77.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) generate?
The free cash flow of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is −$473K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) hold?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $5.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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