CTW Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $145M

A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range ($0.7140 to $1.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range $1.21 – $4.44 · fair‑value band $0.7140 – $1.33 · the $2.54 price screens above the $1.03 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

CTW (CTW) currently trades at $2.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.03, implying the stock looks roughly 59.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, CTW generated revenue of $90.4M at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 40.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.7140 (bear case) to $1.33 (bull case); at $2.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 131% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -60%, CTW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.76) versus Asset-Based ($0.3700). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

CTW operates a web-based gaming platform in Japan and Singapore. The company offers an immersive digital space through its flagship HTML5 platform, G123.jp, which provides a selection of free-to-play games inspired by Japanese animations.

Full company description

CTW operates a web-based gaming platform in Japan and Singapore. The company offers an immersive digital space through its flagship HTML5 platform, G123.jp, which provides a selection of free-to-play games inspired by Japanese animations. It also engages in the provision of removing barriers to gameplay, including downloads, installations, and mandatory registrations through different types of devices comprising mobile devices and PCs. In addition, the company offers support to game developers, such as game distribution support, localization and translation of in-game content, and IP related design support; sound effects, music, and interface elements; game distribution services consisting of hosting games on its platform and distributing games through its network and server resources, and related software and systems. Further, it provides marketing services and customer support. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. CTW operates as a subsidiary of CTW (BVI) LTD.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CTW reported revenue of $90.4M in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2019, a compound −53.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8M in FY2025, compounding −63.7%/yr from FY2019.

CTW screens 60% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 152 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Communication Services stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.