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Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $26.1B

CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation logo Curtiss-Wright Corporation CW · US
Price$714.04
Fair Value$242.91
Upside-66.0%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.13% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range $171.25 – $310.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($310.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($171.25 to $310.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$792.77 $110.16 Fair Value $242.91 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $110.16 – $792.77 · fair‑value band $171.25 – $310.03 · the $714.04 price screens above the $242.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) currently trades at $714.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $242.91, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Curtiss-Wright Corporation generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.7%. Net debt stands at $943M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $171.25 (bear case) to $310.03 (bull case); at $714.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at -66%, CW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $167.99 $277.12 $449.99 80
Residual Income $88.10 $123.02 $601.88 76
Rev-Margin DCF $149.54 $249.97 $369.85 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $166.21 $277.16 $453.30 38
Owner Earnings $155.25 $259.32 $424.52 31
5Y Revenue Exit $149.54 $250.46 $381.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $169.09 $288.12 $429.54 41
5Y P/E Exit $166.29 $282.73 $407.80 38
10Y Revenue Exit $148.85 $243.74 $375.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $166.42 $270.31 $413.59 37
10Y P/E Exit $164.62 $266.50 $396.53 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $89.13 $317.60 $427.72 54
Lynch FV $74.69 $106.70 $138.71 50
PEG = 1.0 $74.69 $106.70 $138.71 46
EPV $119.02 $140.60 $159.48 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.63 $17.95 $28.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.63 $15.13 $18.84 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $196.62 $262.16 $327.70 63
P/S Multiple $167.13 $222.84 $278.55 58
P/B Multiple $154.31 $205.75 $257.19 55
EV/EBIT $222.70 $300.42 $378.14 53
EV/EBITDA $190.88 $257.99 $325.10 54
EV/Revenue $146.71 $214.06 $281.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.29 $45.95 $68.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $167.99 $277.12 $449.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF $149.54 $249.97 $369.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $88.10 $123.02 $601.88 76
ROIC Compounder $130.72 $173.83 $228.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $139.13 $198.76 $258.39 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($266.50) versus Dividend Discount ($15.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net margin 14.2%
Return on equity 19.7%
Free cash flow $554M FY2025
P/E ratio 54.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.6%
EPS (TTM) $13.68
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.1%
Net debt $943M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial nuclear power, process, and industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power.

Full company description

Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial nuclear power, process, and industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. The Aerospace & Industrial segment offers industrial and specialty vehicle products, such as power management electronics, traction inverters, transmission shifters, and control systems; sensors, controls, and electro-mechanical actuation components used on commercial and military aircraft; and surface technology services including shot peening, laser peening, and engineered coatings. The Defense Electronics segment provides commercial off-the-shelf embedded computing board-level modules and processing equipment, data acquisition and flight test instrumentation equipment, integrated subsystems, instrumentation and control systems, tactical communications solutions; and electronic stabilization products, and weapons handling systems; avionics and electronics; flight test equipment; and aircraft data management solutions. The Naval & Power segment offers main coolant pumps, power-dense compact motors, generators, steam turbines, valves, and secondary propulsion systems; energy absorbers, retractable hook cable systems, net-stanchion systems and mobile systems to support fixed land-based arresting systems; hardware, valves, fastening systems, specialized containment doors, airlock hatches, and spent fuel management products; reactor coolant pumps and control rod drive mechanisms for commercial nuclear power plants, as well as various nuclear reactor technologies. This segment furnishes severe-service valve technologies and services, heat exchanger repair, and piping test and isolation products, and offers ship repair and maintenance for the U.S. navy. Curtiss-Wright Corporation was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Curtiss-Wright Corporation reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $2.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $484M in FY2025, compounding +16.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.5B
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (36Y)
+8.5%
Revenue +8.8%/yr
FY21 $2.5B
FY22 $2.6B
FY23 $2.8B
FY24 $3.1B
FY25 $3.5B
Net income +16.5%/yr
FY21 $263M
FY22 $294M
FY23 $355M
FY24 $405M
FY25 $484M

CW screens 66% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Curtiss-Wright Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CW

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 10.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 47.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 32.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.00× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 67 · sector 47
PAST 79 · sector 39
HEALTH 85 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €206.30 €92.85 -55%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $242.91 versus a price of $714.04, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CW?
Our model-based fair value for Curtiss-Wright Corporation is $242.91 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $714.04.
What is the quality score of CW?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation has a Quality Score of 71/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW)?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CW?
The net profit margin of Curtiss-Wright Corporation is about 14.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Curtiss-Wright Corporation pay a dividend?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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