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Derichebourg SA (DBG) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FR · Market cap €1.5B

DS Derichebourg SA DBG · PA
Price€9.33
Fair Value€8.36
Upside-10.4%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.37% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range €5.58 – €13.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €8.35 to €8.36 (+0.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (€5.58 to €13.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from €5.58 (bear) to €13.16 (bull), base €8.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€10.49 €3.55 Fair Value €8.36 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €3.55 – €10.49 · fair‑value band €5.58 – €13.16 · the €9.33 price screens above the €8.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Derichebourg SA (DBG) currently trades at €9.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.36, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Derichebourg SA generated revenue of €3.3B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at €683M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €5.58 (bear case) to €13.16 (bull case); at €9.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -10%, DBG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €5.02 €6.75 €9.70 80
Residual Income €5.96 €6.57 €9.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF €5.77 €9.45 €14.11 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €4.83 €6.64 €10.01 38
Owner Earnings €7.38 €9.86 €14.49 31
5Y Revenue Exit €5.77 €9.27 €14.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €10.51 €17.31 €26.62 41
5Y P/E Exit €6.90 €11.19 €16.50 38
10Y Revenue Exit €5.10 €7.89 €11.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €7.97 €12.73 €18.16 37
10Y P/E Exit €5.94 €9.04 €12.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €5.24 €8.52 €10.30 54
EPV €4.09 €4.92 €5.61 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.02 €1.19 €1.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.02 €1.28 €1.58 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €12.13 €16.17 €20.21 63
P/S Multiple €9.82 €13.09 €16.36 58
P/B Multiple €9.82 €13.09 €16.36 55
EV/EBIT €10.85 €15.13 €19.42 53
EV/EBITDA €17.49 €23.99 €30.49 54
EV/Revenue €7.17 €11.10 €15.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.53 €4.74 €7.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.02 €6.75 €9.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF €5.77 €9.45 €14.11 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €5.96 €6.57 €9.20 76
ROIC Compounder €4.09 €4.92 €5.61 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €8.56 €12.23 €15.90 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€13.09) versus Dividend Discount (€1.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €3.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.5%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow €129M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.4
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.8300
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.0%
Net debt €683M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Derichebourg SA provides environmental services to businesses, and local and municipal authorities. The company engages in the collection, management and reuse of end-of-life capital and consumer goods, production, and industrial waste; and waste collection, urban cleaning, waste collection center management, water management.

Full company description

Derichebourg SA provides environmental services to businesses, and local and municipal authorities. The company engages in the collection, management and reuse of end-of-life capital and consumer goods, production, and industrial waste; and waste collection, urban cleaning, waste collection center management, water management. It is also involved in the production and distribution of drinking water; collection and treatment of wastewater; consumer management; and treatment of xenobiotics, as well as collection and recovery of residential waste. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Derichebourg SA reported revenue of €3.3B in FY2025 versus €3.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was €122M in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€3.3B
Latest YoY
−7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+5.3%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 €3.6B
FY22 €4.3B
FY23 €3.6B
FY24 €3.6B
FY25 €3.3B
Net income −8.5%/yr
FY21 €174M
FY22 €238M
FY23 €137M
FY24 €74.8M
FY25 €122M

DBG screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Derichebourg SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DBG

Peer Group

Waste Management · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.50× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 10
FUTURE 39 · sector 21
PAST 48 · sector 24
HEALTH 79 · sector 82
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $233.33 $128.02 -45%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $219.20 $122.01 -44%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$242.43 C$78.67 -68%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €37.51 €24.50 -35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $303.64 $155.37 -49%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$55.40 C$94.12 +70%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €12.20 €7.30 -40%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.32 ¥5.27 -17%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥16.18 ¥20.91 +29%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.34 A$1.18 -50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Derichebourg SA (DBG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.36 versus a price of €9.33, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DBG?
Our model-based fair value for Derichebourg SA is €8.36 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €9.33.
What is the quality score of DBG?
Derichebourg SA has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Derichebourg SA (DBG)?
Derichebourg SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DBG?
The net profit margin of Derichebourg SA is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Derichebourg SA pay a dividend?
Derichebourg SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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