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DGL Group Ltd (DGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of DGL Group Ltd A$1.62, price A$0.30, upside +449.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000149338

DG Thin data Sep 23, 2026

DGL Group Ltd

DGL · AU

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value A$1.62 · Strongly undervalued (+449%)
!Quality 46/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +36.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range A$0.8700 to A$2.82
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$4.15 A$0.2700 Fair Value A$1.62 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2700 – A$4.15 · fair‑value band A$0.8700 – A$2.82 · the A$0.2950 price screens below the A$1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

DGL Group Limited operates as a supplier of chemical logistics and services in Australia, New Zealand, and the United States. The company operates through Chemical Manufacturing, Logistics, and Environmental Solutions segments.

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DGL Group Limited operates as a supplier of chemical logistics and services in Australia, New Zealand, and the United States. The company operates through Chemical Manufacturing, Logistics, and Environmental Solutions segments. The Chemical Manufacturing segment engages in the production of specialty chemicals; undertakes advanced formulation and contract manufacturing on behalf of third parties; and manufactures DGL branded goods. The Logistics segment offers transport, logistics, and warehousing services focusing on dangerous and hazardous goods, as well as freight forwarding and inventory management services. This segment also manages logistics and distribution for other goods including food, pharmaceutical products, agricultural products, security sensitive goods, and temperature-controlled products. The Environmental Solutions segment is involved in resource recovery and waste management comprising liquid waste treatment, end-of-life lead acid battery recycling, and lead smelting and refining; and operates a wastewater treatment plant to process liquid waste generated. DGL Group Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

DGL Group Ltd (DGL) currently trades at A$0.2950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$2.73 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the A$0.2950 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.8700, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.8700 (bear) to A$2.82 (bull), the price of A$0.2950 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

DGL Group Ltd reported revenue of 520M NZD in FY2025 versus 166M NZD in FY2021, a compound +33.0%/yr. Reported net income was −26.6M NZD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$84.1M (≈ $59.0M) · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1200 · Net margin −5.1% · Return on equity −11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% · Operating margin 2.2% · Revenue (TTM) 468M NZD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 449%, DGL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.8700 Fair Value A$1.62 Bull A$2.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$1.15 A$1.92 A$3.77 76
Growth DCF A$1.08 A$2.02 A$3.52 75
EPV A$0.8400 A$0.9800 A$1.09 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$1.15 A$1.92 A$3.77 76
5Y Revenue Exit A$1.26 A$2.62 A$4.99 68
5Y EBITDA Exit A$2.02 A$4.28 A$7.99 71
10Y Revenue Exit A$1.14 A$2.48 A$4.29 64
10Y EBITDA Exit A$1.64 A$3.66 A$7.28 64
Earnings-Based
EPV A$0.8400 A$0.9800 A$1.09 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT A$1.97 A$2.73 A$3.49 66
EV/EBITDA A$2.71 A$3.71 A$4.71 67
EV/Revenue A$1.32 A$2.02 A$2.71 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.6500 A$0.8700 A$1.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$1.08 A$2.02 A$3.52 75
Rev-Margin DCF A$1.26 A$2.70 A$4.80 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder A$0.8400 A$0.9800 A$1.09 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2021) → 9.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in NZD, New Zealand: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.7% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $469.72 $441.28 −6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $326.46 $148.97 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.72 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $286.97 $122.14 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 235.25 TWD −1%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,406 CHF 1,523 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.60 ¥68.03 −5%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 182.10 CHF 98.89 −46%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,455 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.20 $77.06 −28%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DGL Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DGL

Frequently asked questions

Is DGL Group Ltd (DGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.62 versus a price of A$0.2950, about +449% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DGL?
Our model-based fair value for DGL Group Ltd is A$1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2950.
What is the quality score of DGL?
DGL Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.8700, optimistic scenario A$2.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the DGL Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.62, about +449% upside versus a price of A$0.2950 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$0.8700, optimistic scenario A$2.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
DGL Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 468M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, DGL Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DGL use?
Our models discount DGL Group Ltd at 12.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For DGL Group Ltd that is -3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has DGL Group Ltd (DGL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at DGL Group Ltd grew +36.6 % a year. The price currently implies -3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of DGL Group Ltd (DGL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into DGL Group Ltd (-3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.65 %: that much free cash flow DGL Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For DGL Group Ltd it is A$1.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.2950. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is DGL Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DGL trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.2950, fair value A$1.62, a gap of about +449% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.62). For DGL Group Ltd the two are A$1.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is DGL Group Ltd worth?
The market values DGL Group Ltd at about A$84.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2950; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DGL?
Our models span a range for DGL Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.8700, base A$1.62, optimistic A$2.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.2950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for DGL Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −11.5%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DGL from its 52-week high?
DGL Group Ltd trades at A$0.2950, about 45% below its 52-week high of A$0.5350 and 9% above the low of A$0.2700 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to DGL Group Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is DGL Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.2950, calculated fair value A$1.62 (+449%), Quality Score 46/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DGL calculated?
We run DGL Group Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. DGL Group Ltd currently trades 449 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.2950. Our model-based fair value is A$1.62, about +449% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with DGL Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.8700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.8700 to A$2.82). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of DGL Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The market capitalisation of DGL Group Ltd is A$84.1M (≈ $59.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of DGL Group Ltd is 0.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
Earnings per share at DGL Group Ltd are A$−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The net margin of DGL Group Ltd is −5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of DGL Group Ltd is −11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of DGL Group Ltd is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
The operating margin of DGL Group Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
Revenue at DGL Group Ltd is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at DGL Group Ltd (DGL)?
Earnings per share at DGL Group Ltd are growing +20.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does DGL Group Ltd (DGL) carry?
The net debt of DGL Group Ltd is 174M NZD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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