Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd $6.62, price $6.43, upside +3.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.91 – $53.36 · fair‑value band $3.52 – $9.22 · the $6.43 price screens below the $6.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited operates retail food outlets. It holds franchise rights for the Domino's brand in Australia, New Zealand, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, Japan, Cambodia, Germany, Luxembourg, Taiwan, Denmark, Malaysia, and Singapore. The company also operates various stores.
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Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited operates retail food outlets. It holds franchise rights for the Domino's brand in Australia, New Zealand, Belgium, France, the Netherlands, Japan, Cambodia, Germany, Luxembourg, Taiwan, Denmark, Malaysia, and Singapore. The company also operates various stores. Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited was founded in 1983 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) currently trades at $6.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.62, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.67 per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the $6.43 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.63, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.52 (bear) to $9.22 (bull), the price of $6.43 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd reported revenue of A$2.3B in FY2025 versus A$2.2B in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.2B · P/E ratio 29.2 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) $0.2200 · Dividend yield 7.2% · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity 9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 3%, DMZPY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.52Fair Value $6.62Bull $9.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.1% (2018) → 7.7% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in AUD, Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.3% a year for the price and −4.8% for the forecasts.
Compare Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 205 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−1.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.1% · Above median
Return on assets3.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.29× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)29.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.69× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.62 versus a price of $6.43, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DMZPY?
Our model-based fair value for Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is $6.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.43.
What is the quality score of DMZPY?
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.62 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.52, optimistic scenario $9.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.62, about +3% upside versus a price of $6.43 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.52, optimistic scenario $9.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd pay a dividend?
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +18.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DMZPY use?
Our models discount Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd that is +18.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies +18.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (+18.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.40 %: that much free cash flow Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd it is $6.62 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.43. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DMZPY trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.43, fair value $6.62, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DMZPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.62). For Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd the two are $0.1900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd worth?
The market values Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.43; our models calculate a fair value of $6.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DMZPY?
Our models span a range for Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd: cautious scenario $3.52, base $6.62, optimistic $9.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DMZPY?
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.62 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 12.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.1%, debt of 1.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DMZPY from its 52-week high?
Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd trades at $6.43, about 25% below its 52-week high of $8.63 and 64% above the low of $3.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.43, calculated fair value $6.62 (+3%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DMZPY calculated?
We run Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.43. Our model-based fair value is $6.62, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($3.52 to $9.22). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) come from?
Earnings per share at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd grew +0.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.4 %, EBIT margin −0.2 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −11.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The market capitalisation of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is 0.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Earnings per share at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd are $0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The dividend yield of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is 7.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The net margin of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is −0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
The operating margin of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Revenue at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is growing −5.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY)?
Earnings per share at Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd are growing −53.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd (DMZPY) carry?
The net debt of Domino'S Pizza Enterprises Ltd is A$1.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026