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Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S (DNORD) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DK · Market cap 9.2B DKK

DN Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S DNORD · CO
Pricekr 320.20
Fair Valuekr 76.59
Upside-76.1%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.39% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range kr 56.78 – kr 95.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 80.20 to kr 76.59 (−4.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 95.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 401.99 kr 83.70 Fair Value kr 76.59 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 83.70 – kr 401.99 · fair‑value band kr 56.78 – kr 95.74 · the kr 320.20 price screens above the kr 76.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S (DNORD) currently trades at kr 320.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 76.59, implying the stock looks roughly 76.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S generated revenue of 3.1B DKK at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at 633M DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 56.78 (bear case) to kr 95.74 (bull case); at kr 320.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -76%, DNORD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income kr 39.60 kr 43.61 kr 62.01 76
ROIC Compounder kr 22.12 kr 24.89 kr 27.29 72
Gordon GGM kr 11.68 kr 23.27 kr 35.23 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 30.64 kr 86.43 kr 113.77 54
Lynch FV kr 17.53 kr 25.05 kr 32.56 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 17.53 kr 25.05 kr 32.56 46
EPV kr 22.12 kr 24.89 kr 27.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 11.68 kr 23.27 kr 35.23 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 11.68 kr 18.20 kr 24.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 70.96 kr 94.61 kr 118.27 63
P/S Multiple kr 57.44 kr 76.59 kr 95.74 58
P/B Multiple kr 57.44 kr 76.59 kr 95.74 55
EV/EBIT kr 38.02 kr 49.18 kr 60.34 53
EV/EBITDA kr 138.16 kr 182.69 kr 227.23 54
EV/Revenue kr 28.44 kr 38.68 kr 48.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 23.01 kr 30.83 kr 46.02 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 39.60 kr 43.61 kr 62.01 76
ROIC Compounder kr 22.12 kr 24.89 kr 27.29 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 56.78 kr 81.11 kr 105.44 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 81.11) versus Dividend Discount (kr 18.20). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.1B DKK
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net margin 3.2%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow −288M DKK FY2025
P/E ratio 14.9
More key figures
Operating margin 0.4%
EPS (TTM) kr 22.36
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -64.0%
Net debt 633M DKK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S, a shipping company, owns and operates dry cargo and tanker vessels worldwide. It operates through the Dry operator " large vessels, Dry operator " small vessels, Tanker operator, Dry owner, Tanker owner, and Logistics segments.

Full company description

Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S, a shipping company, owns and operates dry cargo and tanker vessels worldwide. It operates through the Dry operator " large vessels, Dry operator " small vessels, Tanker operator, Dry owner, Tanker owner, and Logistics segments. The company offers ocean- and port-based freight services for bulk cargo, such as agricultural, ores, minerals, and coal; project cargo, including windmill, components, machinery, steel, and forestry products; and liquid bulk, such as diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, and soft oil. Its fleet includes owned and leased vessels, externally chartered tonnage, and its tanker pool. Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Hellerup, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S reported revenue of kr 3.2B in FY2025 versus kr 3.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was kr 125M in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B DKK
Latest YoY
−19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.5%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+2.3%
Revenue −2.2%/yr
FY21 kr 3.6B
FY22 kr 5.3B
FY23 kr 3.7B
FY24 kr 4.0B
FY25 kr 3.2B
Net income −11.6%/yr
FY21 kr 205M
FY22 kr 744M
FY23 kr 400M
FY24 kr 163M
FY25 kr 125M

DNORD screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DNORD

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 9 · sector 18
PAST 31 · sector 27
HEALTH 90 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 20/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S (DNORD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 76.59 versus a price of kr 320.20, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DNORD?
Our model-based fair value for Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S is kr 76.59 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 320.20.
What is the quality score of DNORD?
Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S (DNORD)?
Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B DKK (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DNORD?
The net profit margin of Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S pay a dividend?
Dampskibsselskabet Norden A/S currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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