Dodla Dairy Limited (DODLA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹67.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹752.39 to ₹711.46 (−5.4%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price −6.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹940.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹396.64 to ₹940.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹410.24 – ₹1,463 · fair‑value band ₹396.64 – ₹940.48 · the ₹1,044 price screens above the ₹711.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Dodla Dairy Limited (DODLA) currently trades at ₹1,044, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹711.46, implying the stock looks roughly 31.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dodla Dairy Limited generated revenue of ₹41.3B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 18.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹396.64 (bear case) to ₹940.48 (bull case); at ₹1,044, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -32%, DODLA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹933.38) versus Dividend Discount (₹32.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dodla Dairy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of milk and value-added dairy products in India and internationally.
Full company description
Dodla Dairy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of milk and value-added dairy products in India and internationally. The company offers flavoured, toned, standardized, full cream, ultrahigh temperature processed (UHT)-toned, UHT cow, and UHT-double toned milk; and milk products, such as butter milk, lassi, ghee, paneer, cheese, curd, flavored milk, yoghurt, butter, ice cream, and sweets. It also engages production and sale of cattle feed. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Hyderabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dodla Dairy Limited reported revenue of ₹41.3B in FY2026 versus ₹22.4B in FY2022, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.7B in FY2026, compounding +19.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +13.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
DODLA screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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