Doxa AB (DOXA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SE · Market cap 473M SEK (≈ $49.3M) · ISIN SE0005624756
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 56% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (18/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 0.5780). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.5780 to kr 1.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.3300 – kr 17.10 · fair‑value band kr 0.5780 – kr 1.16 · the kr 0.3470 price screens below the kr 0.7820 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Doxa AB (DOXA) currently trades at kr 0.3470, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.7820, implying the stock looks roughly 125.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 36.2M SEK. It earns a return on equity of -9.5%. Net debt stands at 1.3B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.5780 (bear case) to kr 1.16 (bull case); at kr 0.3470, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at 125%, DOXA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Doxa AB (publ) operates as a real estate company in Sweden and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Doxa AB reported revenue of kr 63.5M in FY2025 versus kr 10.9M in FY2021, a compound +55.4%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 336M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 594 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 | HK$109.70 | HK$88.93 | -19% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$46.12 | HK$68.85 | +49% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | -81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | -74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | -53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | -32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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