Dynatrace, Inc (DT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $13.0B
Dynatrace, Inc
DT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $14.97 to $11.16 (−25.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $30.11 – $78.76 · fair‑value band $8.37 – $13.95 · the $48.87 price screens above the $11.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Dynatrace, Inc (DT) currently trades at $48.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.16, implying the stock looks roughly 77.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dynatrace, Inc generated revenue of $2.0B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $933M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.37 (bear case) to $13.95 (bull case); at $48.87, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -77%, DT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($30.17) versus Dividend Discount ($2.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dynatrace, Inc. engages in the advancement of observability for digital businesses, which transforms the complexity of modern digital ecosystems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America.
Full company description
Dynatrace, Inc. engages in the advancement of observability for digital businesses, which transforms the complexity of modern digital ecosystems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates Dynatrace, an AI-powered observability platform, which provides solutions, including infrastructure, application, threat, and AI observability; digital experience; log analytics; application security; software delivery; and business analytics. It also offers implementation, consulting, and training services. The company markets its products through a combination of global direct sales team and a network of partners, including global system integrators (GSIs), cloud providers, resellers and technology alliance partners. It serves customers in various industries, including banking, financial services, government, insurance, retail and wholesale, transportation, and software. Dynatrace, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dynatrace, Inc reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2026 versus $929M in FY2022, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was $163M in FY2026, compounding +32.7%/yr from FY2022.
DT screens 77% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Dynatrace (DT) Adds Google Executive To Its Board As It Expands AI Tools
- Dynatrace Appoints AI and Technology Leader Chandu Thota to its Board of Directors
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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