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Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Daimler Truck Holding $25.97, price $22.87, upside +13.6%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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DT
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
Daimler Truck Holding
DTRUY · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $25.97 · Undervalued (+13.6%)
✓Quality 60/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓8.3% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 40/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range $9.20 – $28.60 · fair‑value band $16.13 – $36.94 · the $22.87 price screens below the $25.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
Daimler Truck Holding AG manufactures and sells light, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses in Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses, and Financial Services.
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Daimler Truck Holding AG manufactures and sells light, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses in Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses, and Financial Services. It offers light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks; city and intercity buses, coaches, and bus chassis; industrial engines; and special vehicles used in various sector, as well as new and used commercial vehicles. The company also provides various financial services, such as rental, leasing, and financing for vehicles; and charging infrastructure, insurance brokerage, payment, and integrated services for zero emission vehicles. In addition, it offers connectivity solutions under the Detroit Connect, Truckonnect, TruckLive, OMNIplus ON, Mercedes-Benz Uptime, and Fleetboard brand names; and aftersales services, as well as sells spare parts. It provides trucks and buses under the Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, Western Star, FUSO, BharatBenz, RIZON, Setra, and Thomas Built Buses brands. The company was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Leinfelden-Echterdingen, Germany.
Stock analysis
Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY) currently trades at $22.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.97, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $29.26 per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the $22.87 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $10.39, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $16.13 (bear) to $36.94 (bull), the price of $22.87 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Daimler Truck Holding reported revenue of €43.7B in FY2025 versus €39.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was €1.9B in FY2025, compounding −5.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $35.2B · P/E ratio 25.1 · P/S ratio 1.09 · EPS (TTM) $0.9100 · Dividend yield 8.3% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 14%, DTRUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $16.13
Fair Value $25.97
Bull $36.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$15.77
$25.06
$42.25
78
Growth DCF
$16.88
$25.89
$41.30
77
Residual Income
$13.68
$14.87
$16.92
76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$15.77
$25.06
$42.25
78
Owner Earnings
$11.95
$19.73
$34.14
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$16.00
$27.42
$44.04
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$22.56
$38.79
$60.28
74
5Y P/E Exit
$12.78
$21.86
$32.72
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$15.04
$23.55
$32.72
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$19.71
$30.58
$42.26
68
10Y P/E Exit
$13.77
$20.11
$26.08
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$9.48
$11.58
$13.03
67
EPV
$13.66
$17.25
$20.39
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$9.50
$10.39
$11.76
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$9.50
$11.91
$15.30
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$21.95
$29.26
$36.58
63
P/S Multiple
$17.77
$23.69
$29.61
58
P/B Multiple
$17.77
$23.69
$29.61
55
EV/EBIT
$28.83
$41.06
$53.29
65
EV/EBITDA
$32.67
$46.18
$59.70
67
EV/Revenue
$18.32
$29.55
$40.77
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$7.93
$10.63
$15.86
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$16.88
$25.89
$41.30
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$16.00
$27.98
$42.62
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$13.68
$14.87
$16.92
76
ROIC Compounder
$13.66
$17.45
$21.77
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$15.50
$22.14
$28.78
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Profitability
33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 9%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.7% a year for the price and +5.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.6%
Watch DTRUY, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- Can Daimler Truck Holding (XTRA:DTG) Sustain A Discount On Cash Flow?
- Daimler Truck brings NextGenH2 to IAA as hydrogen pact forms
- Karin Rådström is steering Daimler Truck in a new direction as the world’s biggest truckmaker faces a growing challenge from China
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $109.81 | $120.79 | +10% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥17.20 | ¥20.84 | +21% |
| CNH Industrial N.V CNH | $13.06 | $8.65 | −34% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €34.04 | €32.82 | −4% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €17.08 | €18.79 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥7.17 | ¥14.52 | +103% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$35.30 | HK$56.32 | +60% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹159.08 | ₹118.01 | −26% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.97 versus a price of $22.87, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DTRUY?
Our model-based fair value for Daimler Truck Holding is $25.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.87.
What is the quality score of DTRUY?
Daimler Truck Holding has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.13, optimistic scenario $36.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daimler Truck Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.97, about +14% upside versus a price of $22.87 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $16.13, optimistic scenario $36.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Daimler Truck Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €44.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Daimler Truck Holding pay a dividend?
Daimler Truck Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Daimler Truck Holding would have to grow free cash flow by +2.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.0 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DTRUY use?
Our models discount Daimler Truck Holding at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.92, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Daimler Truck Holding that is +2.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Daimler Truck Holding grew +4.0 % a year. The price currently implies +2.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Daimler Truck Holding (+2.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.90 %: that much free cash flow Daimler Truck Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daimler Truck Holding it is $25.97 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $22.87. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Daimler Truck Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, DTRUY trades below its calculated fair value: price $22.87, fair value $25.97, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DTRUY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.97). For Daimler Truck Holding the two are $3.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daimler Truck Holding worth?
The market values Daimler Truck Holding at about $35.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $22.87; our models calculate a fair value of $25.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DTRUY?
Our models span a range for Daimler Truck Holding: cautious scenario $16.13, base $25.97, optimistic $36.94 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $22.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DTRUY?
Daimler Truck Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.1 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $25.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 1.7, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 13.2.
What is the PEG ratio of DTRUY?
The PEG ratio of Daimler Truck Holding is 1.33 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daimler Truck Holding (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 5.4%, debt of 0.89 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DTRUY from its 52-week high?
Daimler Truck Holding trades at $22.87, about 20% below its 52-week high of $28.60 and 22% above the low of $18.67 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daimler Truck Holding?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Sany Heavy Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daimler Truck Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $22.87, calculated fair value $25.97 (+14%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DTRUY calculated?
We run Daimler Truck Holding through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $25.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Daimler Truck Holding currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $22.87. Our model-based fair value is $25.97, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daimler Truck Holding right now?
A fairly wide model range ($16.13 to $36.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Daimler Truck Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The market capitalisation of Daimler Truck Holding is $35.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Daimler Truck Holding is 1.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Earnings per share at Daimler Truck Holding are $0.9100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The dividend yield of Daimler Truck Holding is 8.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The net margin of Daimler Truck Holding is 4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daimler Truck Holding is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daimler Truck Holding is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
The operating margin of Daimler Truck Holding is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Revenue at Daimler Truck Holding is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY)?
Earnings per share at Daimler Truck Holding are growing −76.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Daimler Truck Holding (DTRUY) carry?
The net debt of Daimler Truck Holding is €20.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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