Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value 16.12 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 50/100
✓Healthy Growth(revenue 5y +78.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers(6/14)
!Narrow moat20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
36‑month range 39.75 TRY – 90.80 TRY · fair‑value band 16.12 TRY – 20.95 TRY · the 80.90 TRY price screens above the 16.12 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi retails mother and baby products in Turkey and internationally. It sells its products through retail and e-commerce channels. Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK) currently trades at 80.90 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.12 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 401.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 83.18 TRY per share, and 16 of the 25 models we run sit above the 80.90 TRY price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 7.63 TRY, and 9 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 16.12 TRY (bear) to 20.95 TRY (bull), the price of 80.90 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 27.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 2.1B TRY in FY2021, a compound +91.4%/yr. Reported net income was 55.5M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 14.4B TRY (≈ $294M) · P/E ratio 69.1 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) 1.17 TRY · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −80%, EBEBK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 16.12 TRYFair Value 16.12 TRYBull 20.95 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8495 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+78.6%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+42.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+36.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 9%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 229 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)69.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.14× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.12 TRY versus a price of 80.90 TRY, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EBEBK?
Our model-based fair value for Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 16.12 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 80.90 TRY.
What is the quality score of EBEBK?
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.12 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.12 TRY, optimistic scenario 20.95 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.12 TRY, about −80% upside versus a price of 80.90 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 16.12 TRY, optimistic scenario 20.95 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi pay a dividend?
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi would have to grow free cash flow by +6.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 17.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +78.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EBEBK use?
Our models discount Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi at 17.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi that is +6.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (17.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi grew +78.6 % a year. The price currently implies +6.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (+6.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.35 %: that much free cash flow Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (17.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi it is 16.12 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 80.90 TRY. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, EBEBK trades above its calculated fair value: price 80.90 TRY, fair value 16.12 TRY, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EBEBK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (80.90 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.12 TRY). For Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi the two are 64.78 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi at about 14.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 80.90 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 16.12 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EBEBK?
Our models span a range for Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 16.12 TRY, base 16.12 TRY, optimistic 20.95 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 80.90 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EBEBK?
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.12 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EBEBK from its 52-week high?
Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi trades at 80.90 TRY, about 12% below its 52-week high of 92.15 TRY and 68% above the low of 48.29 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.12 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 80.90 TRY, calculated fair value 16.12 TRY (−80%), Quality Score 50/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EBEBK calculated?
We run Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.12 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 80.90 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 16.12 TRY, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.95 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi
How large is the market capitalisation of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The market capitalisation of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 14.4B TRY (≈ $294M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Earnings per share at Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi are 1.17 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 69.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The dividend yield of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 5.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The net margin of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
The operating margin of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Revenue at Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is growing +22.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +47.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK)?
Earnings per share at Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi are growing −7.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi (EBEBK) carry?
The net debt of Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi is 432M TRY (fiscal year 2022, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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