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EBEBK Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 14.4B TRY

E EBEBK EBEBK · IS
Price89.70 TRY
Fair Value15.64 TRY
Upside-82.6%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 20/100
Evidence: High Range 14.27 TRY – 20.34 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +19.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.34 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

90.80 TRY 39.75 TRY Fair Value 15.64 TRY Sep 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

35‑month range 39.75 TRY – 90.80 TRY · fair‑value band 14.27 TRY – 20.34 TRY · the 89.70 TRY price screens above the 15.64 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

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Analysis

EBEBK (EBEBK) currently trades at 89.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.64 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 82.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, EBEBK generated revenue of 29.2B TRY at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 22.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at 432M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 14.27 TRY (bear case) to 20.34 TRY (bull case); at 89.70 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -83%, EBEBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 172.36 TRY 328.12 TRY 583.35 TRY 80
Residual Income 19.76 TRY 18.73 TRY 13.97 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 186.03 TRY 328.82 TRY 627.09 TRY 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 182.35 TRY 278.79 TRY 585.89 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 169.48 TRY 289.35 TRY 540.76 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 221.75 TRY 395.05 TRY 735.41 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 64.16 TRY 87.23 TRY 112.05 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 169.99 TRY 370.94 TRY 503.33 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 214.26 TRY 483.50 TRY 960.53 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 99.27 TRY 144.15 TRY 202.58 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.36 TRY 16.45 TRY 23.08 TRY 54
Lynch FV 8.50 TRY 12.14 TRY 15.78 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 8.50 TRY 12.14 TRY 15.78 TRY 46
EPV 125.82 TRY 144.43 TRY 160.71 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 47.44 TRY 98.64 TRY 156.48 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 47.44 TRY 83.18 TRY 103.52 TRY 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 5.20 TRY 6.94 TRY 8.67 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 4.42 TRY 5.90 TRY 7.37 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 4.42 TRY 5.90 TRY 7.37 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 214.49 TRY 281.25 TRY 348.01 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 228.06 TRY 299.35 TRY 370.64 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 149.21 TRY 207.07 TRY 264.93 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14.27 TRY 19.12 TRY 28.54 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 172.36 TRY 328.12 TRY 583.35 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 186.03 TRY 328.82 TRY 627.09 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19.76 TRY 18.73 TRY 13.97 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 145.05 TRY 195.46 TRY 257.72 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 10.95 TRY 15.64 TRY 20.34 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (328.12 TRY) versus Multiples (6.94 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 29.2B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.8%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow 1.6B TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 76.7
More key figures
Operating margin -1.0%
EPS (TTM) 1.17 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) -7.8%
Net debt 432M TRY FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi retails mother and baby products in Turkey and internationally. It sells its products through retail and e-commerce channels. Ebebek Magazacilik Anonim Sirketi was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EBEBK reported revenue of 27.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 2.1B TRY in FY2021, a compound +91.4%/yr. Reported net income was 55.5M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
27.7B TRY
Latest YoY
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+47.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+78.6%
Revenue +91.4%/yr
FY21 2.1B TRY
FY22 8.7B TRY
FY23 16.4B TRY
FY24 24.0B TRY
FY25 27.7B TRY
Net income
FY21 −2.6M TRY
FY22 269M TRY
FY23 436M TRY
FY24 152M TRY
FY25 55.5M TRY

EBEBK screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
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EBEBK · Fair Value
15.64 TRY −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EBEBK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EBEBK

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 11 · sector 27
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EBEBK overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.64 TRY versus a price of 89.70 TRY, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EBEBK?
Our model-based fair value for EBEBK is 15.64 TRY (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 89.70 TRY.
What is the quality score of EBEBK?
EBEBK has a Quality Score of 58/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EBEBK?
EBEBK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EBEBK?
The net profit margin of EBEBK is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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