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EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of EcoSynthetix Inc $0.55, price $1.24, upside -55.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN CA27923D1087

EI EcoSynthetix Inc logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

EcoSynthetix Inc

ECSNF · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.5500 · Strongly overvalued (−55.7%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.28 $1.22 Fair Value $0.5500 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.22 – $5.28 · fair‑value band $0.3700 – $0.6900 · the $1.24 price screens above the $0.5500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

EcoSynthetix Inc., a renewable chemicals company, develops and markets bio-based technologies as replacement solutions for synthetic, petrochemical-based chemicals and related products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

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EcoSynthetix Inc., a renewable chemicals company, develops and markets bio-based technologies as replacement solutions for synthetic, petrochemical-based chemicals and related products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers DuraBind an engineered biopolymer for manufacturing wood-based panels; SurfLock, a strength aid for manufacturing pulp-based products; EcoSphere Biolatex binders for manufacturing graphic paper and paperboard; and Bioform biopolymers for manufacturing personal care products. It also provides EcoMer bio monomers, a family of functional bio-based monomers; and EcoStix Bio-PSA, a family of sugar-acrylic, pressure-sensitive adhesives. EcoSynthetix Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Burlington, Canada.

Stock analysis

EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF) currently trades at $1.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5500, 55.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.3700 (bear) to $0.6900 (bull), the price of $1.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

EcoSynthetix Inc reported revenue of $21.2M in FY2025 versus $18.0M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$441K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $130M · P/S ratio 6.33 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −2.1% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0% · Operating margin −22.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −56%, ECSNF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3700 Fair Value $0.5500 Bull $0.6900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.3300 $0.4400 $0.6500 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3300 $0.4400 $0.6500 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−26.3% (2020) → −8.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

ECSNF screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 701 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −96.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −22.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.38× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.34× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $474.65 $441.72 −7%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $330.44 $151.68 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $274.58 $96.56 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $279.19 $121.30 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,360 CHF 1,527 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $104.67 $76.98 −26%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EcoSynthetix Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECSNF

Frequently asked questions

Is EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5500 versus a price of $1.24, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ECSNF?
Our model-based fair value for EcoSynthetix Inc is $0.5500 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.24.
What is the quality score of ECSNF?
EcoSynthetix Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5500 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3700, optimistic scenario $0.6900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EcoSynthetix Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5500, about −56% upside versus a price of $1.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.3700, optimistic scenario $0.6900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
EcoSynthetix Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does EcoSynthetix Inc pay a dividend?
EcoSynthetix Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EcoSynthetix Inc it is $0.5500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.24. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is EcoSynthetix Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ECSNF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.24, fair value $0.5500, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ECSNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5500). For EcoSynthetix Inc the two are $0.6900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EcoSynthetix Inc worth?
The market values EcoSynthetix Inc at about $130M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.24; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ECSNF?
Our models span a range for EcoSynthetix Inc: cautious scenario $0.3700, base $0.5500, optimistic $0.6900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for EcoSynthetix Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ECSNF from its 52-week high?
EcoSynthetix Inc trades at $1.24, about 65% below its 52-week high of $3.55 and 2% above the low of $1.22 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EcoSynthetix Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EcoSynthetix Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.24, calculated fair value $0.5500 (−56%), Quality Score 57/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ECSNF calculated?
We run EcoSynthetix Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. EcoSynthetix Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.24. Our model-based fair value is $0.5500, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EcoSynthetix Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.3700 to $0.6900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of EcoSynthetix Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The market capitalisation of EcoSynthetix Inc is $130M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of EcoSynthetix Inc is 6.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
Earnings per share at EcoSynthetix Inc are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The dividend yield of EcoSynthetix Inc is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The net margin of EcoSynthetix Inc is −2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EcoSynthetix Inc is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EcoSynthetix Inc is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
The operating margin of EcoSynthetix Inc is −22.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF)?
Revenue at EcoSynthetix Inc is growing −6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF) generate?
The free cash flow of EcoSynthetix Inc is −$885K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does EcoSynthetix Inc (ECSNF) hold?
EcoSynthetix Inc holds more cash than debt, $6.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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