Edison S.p.A (EDNR) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IT · Market cap €9.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €1.29 to €0.9100 (−29.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.7888 – €2.51 · fair‑value band €0.6800 – €1.14 · the €1.91 price screens above the €0.9100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Edison S.p.A (EDNR) currently trades at €1.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9100, implying the stock looks roughly 52.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Edison S.p.A generated revenue of €16.9B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at €180M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.6800 (bear case) to €1.14 (bull case); at €1.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -52%, EDNR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.01) versus Earnings-Based (€0.2700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Edison S.p.A. engages in the supply, production, and sale of electric power and gas in Italy and Europe. It produces and sells electric power through a network of 124 hydroelectric power plants, 9 thermoelectric power plants, 51 wind farms, and 62 photovoltaic plants.
Full company description
Edison S.p.A. engages in the supply, production, and sale of electric power and gas in Italy and Europe. It produces and sells electric power through a network of 124 hydroelectric power plants, 9 thermoelectric power plants, 51 wind farms, and 62 photovoltaic plants. The company also engages in the gas infrastructure and supplies business; liquefied natural gas business; and gas storage activities. In addition, it produces and sells hydrogen; and engages in the construction and operation of renewable energy plants, district heating networks, biomethane, and public lighting under service concession arrangements. Further, the company offers energy efficiency and environmental solutions to industrial clients and public administration. The company was formerly known as Montedison SpA and changed its name to Edison S.p.A. in 2002. Edison S.p.A. was founded in 1883 and is based in Milan, Italy. Edison S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Transalpina di Energia Spa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Edison S.p.A reported revenue of €17.7B in FY2025 versus €11.7B in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was €240M in FY2025, compounding −12.7%/yr from FY2021.
EDNR screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $144.51 | $90.37 | -37% |
| Chevron Corporation CHEV | C$22.88 | C$7.97 | -65% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €38.04 | €46.09 | +21% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$7.92 | -43% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP | $40.83 | $12.71 | -69% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.03 | ¥4.46 | -11% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | $36.19 | $34.53 | -5% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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