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Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Bakrieland Development Tbk IDR 88, price IDR 33, upside +165.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · ID · ISIN ID1000088701

BD Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bakrieland Development Tbk

ELTY · JK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 87.50 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+165%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

99.00 IDR 6.00 IDR Fair Value 87.50 IDR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.00 IDR – 99.00 IDR · fair‑value band 58.05 IDR – 124.21 IDR · the 33.00 IDR price screens below the 87.50 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Bakrieland Development Tbk operates as an integrated property company in Indonesia. The company develops and sells urban properties, landed residential estates, office buildings, malls, commercial areas, hotels, and resorts, as well as theme parks and food courts.

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PT Bakrieland Development Tbk operates as an integrated property company in Indonesia. The company develops and sells urban properties, landed residential estates, office buildings, malls, commercial areas, hotels, and resorts, as well as theme parks and food courts. It also rents and manages offices, spaces, and courts; manages theme parks and recreation parks; operates and manages hotels; and real estate, advertising, promotion services, court facilities, management of sports facilities, fitness clubs, parking activities, arena facilities, building and industrial cleaning, private security, security system services, fixed-time labor provider, combined facility support service provider, general public services, garden care and maintenance, water pipeline installation, general building cleaning services, construction of accommodation buildings, highways, roads, hotels, villas, restaurants, cafes, tourism areas, educational buildings, offices, lodgings, entertainment and sports facilities, trading, investment, refinancing businesses, management of buildings, apartments, residential areas, shopping centers, land preparation, installation of waterways, food and beverage services, wireless telecommunication services. The company was formerly known as PT Elang Realty Tbk and changed its name to PT Bakrieland Development Tbk in April 1997. PT Bakrieland Development Tbk was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) currently trades at 33.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 87.50 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 62.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 85.56 IDR per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the 33.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 9.75 IDR, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 58.05 IDR (bear) to 124.21 IDR (bull), the price of 33.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Bakrieland Development Tbk reported revenue of 1.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 784B IDR in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −16.7B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.4T IDR (≈ $80.3M) · P/E ratio 164.3 · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) 0.1400 IDR · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 2.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 165%, ELTY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 58.05 IDR Fair Value 87.50 IDR Bull 124.21 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1028 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 21.44 IDR 34.40 IDR 52.29 IDR 79
Growth DCF 21.12 IDR 32.56 IDR 47.34 IDR 78
5Y Revenue Exit 12.13 IDR 18.83 IDR 27.16 IDR 72
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 21.44 IDR 34.40 IDR 52.29 IDR 79
5Y Revenue Exit 12.13 IDR 18.83 IDR 27.16 IDR 72
10Y Revenue Exit 15.60 IDR 22.54 IDR 31.82 IDR 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue 5.88 IDR 9.75 IDR 13.61 IDR 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 63.85 IDR 85.56 IDR 127.70 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 21.12 IDR 32.56 IDR 47.34 IDR 78
Rev-Margin DCF 12.13 IDR 19.10 IDR 27.91 IDR 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.1% (2018) → −15.4% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+36.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +33.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +165% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 164.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.21× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.33 €23.78 −6%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.78 HK$17.18 −60%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $324.06 $530.17 +64%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.40 HK$13.50 −45%
CoStar Group CSGP $28.77 $6.17 −79%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.44 HK$56.43 +51%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.62 SGD 0.5000 SGD −81%

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Bakrieland Development Tbk · Fair Value
87.50 IDR +62%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bakrieland Development Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELTY

Frequently asked questions

Is Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 87.50 IDR versus a price of 33.00 IDR, about +165% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ELTY?
Our model-based fair value for Bakrieland Development Tbk is 87.50 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 33.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ELTY?
Bakrieland Development Tbk has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 87.50 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 58.05 IDR, optimistic scenario 124.21 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bakrieland Development Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 87.50 IDR, about +165% upside versus a price of 33.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 58.05 IDR, optimistic scenario 124.21 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Bakrieland Development Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bakrieland Development Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +36.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ELTY use?
Our models discount Bakrieland Development Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bakrieland Development Tbk that is +36.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bakrieland Development Tbk grew +18.3 % a year. The price currently implies +36.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bakrieland Development Tbk (+36.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.00 %: that much free cash flow Bakrieland Development Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bakrieland Development Tbk it is 87.50 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 33.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bakrieland Development Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ELTY trades below its calculated fair value: price 33.00 IDR, fair value 87.50 IDR, a gap of about +165% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELTY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (33.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (87.50 IDR). For Bakrieland Development Tbk the two are 54.50 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bakrieland Development Tbk worth?
The market values Bakrieland Development Tbk at about 1.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 33.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 87.50 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELTY?
Our models span a range for Bakrieland Development Tbk: cautious scenario 58.05 IDR, base 87.50 IDR, optimistic 124.21 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 33.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ELTY?
Bakrieland Development Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 164.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 87.50 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 0.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 7.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ELTY?
The PEG ratio of Bakrieland Development Tbk is 0.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bakrieland Development Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELTY from its 52-week high?
Bakrieland Development Tbk trades at 33.00 IDR, about 67% below its 52-week high of 99.00 IDR and 74% above the low of 19.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 87.50 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bakrieland Development Tbk?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bakrieland Development Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 33.00 IDR, calculated fair value 87.50 IDR (+165%), Quality Score 51/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELTY calculated?
We run Bakrieland Development Tbk through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 87.50 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bakrieland Development Tbk currently trades 165 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 33.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 87.50 IDR, about +165% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bakrieland Development Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (58.05 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (58.05 IDR to 124.21 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Bakrieland Development Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The market capitalisation of Bakrieland Development Tbk is 1.4T IDR (≈ $80.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bakrieland Development Tbk is 0.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Earnings per share at Bakrieland Development Tbk are 0.1400 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 164.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The net margin of Bakrieland Development Tbk is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bakrieland Development Tbk is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bakrieland Development Tbk is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
The operating margin of Bakrieland Development Tbk is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Revenue at Bakrieland Development Tbk is growing +14.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY)?
Earnings per share at Bakrieland Development Tbk are growing +220% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bakrieland Development Tbk (ELTY) carry?
The net debt of Bakrieland Development Tbk is 908B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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