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Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd stock A$1.76, price A$7.48, that is 76.5% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials AU · ISIN AU000000EOS8

EO Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd

EOS · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 76% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Upbeat coverage
Loss over the last twelve months · -24.1% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 14.5%
Fair value A$1.76 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 39/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.5 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 25/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$12.26 A$0.4300 Fair Value A$1.76 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.4300 – A$12.26 · fair‑value band A$1.32 – A$2.20 · the A$7.48 price screens above the A$1.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of telescopes and dome enclosures, laser satellite tracking systems, remote weapon systems, and high laser weapon. It operates through Defense Systems and Space Systems segments.

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The company develops, manufactures, and markets fire control, surveillance, weapon systems, and high energy laser to military customers.

It also provides passive optical and laser sensing equipment; optical, microwave and on-the-move radio and satellite products; and laser-based surveillance systems with space tracking capability.

In addition, the company offers counter-drone, firepower, force protection, and UGV and marine lethality systems, as well as high energy laser weapon; optical tracking systems, space control, space domain awareness, satellite laser ranging, space sustainability, and precision optics.

It operates in Australia, the United States, Singapore, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, the Netherlands, North America, Germany, and rest of Europe. Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited was founded in 1983 and is based in Symonston, Australia.

Stock analysis

Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS) currently trades at A$7.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.76, 76% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$3.40 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$7.48 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.6000, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$1.32 (bear) to A$2.20 (bull), the price of A$7.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$128M in FY2025 versus A$212M in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$18.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$1.9B (≈ $1.3B) Small · P/S ratio 7.41 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.3200 · Net margin −24.1% · Return on equity −18.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.4% · Revenue (TTM) A$253M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −76%, EOS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$1.32 Fair Value A$1.76 Bull A$2.20
Price A$7.48 · Downside -76.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings A$2.43 A$3.40 A$4.70 77
Residual Income A$0.7900 A$0.8000 A$0.8500 71
Growth-Adj P/E A$1.04 A$1.49 A$1.93 67
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$2.43 A$3.40 A$4.70 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.5700 A$2.42 A$3.30 64
Lynch FV A$0.6200 A$0.8800 A$1.14 61
PEG = 1.0 A$0.6200 A$0.8800 A$1.14 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$1.32 A$1.76 A$2.20 63
P/S Multiple A$0.8700 A$1.16 A$1.45 58
P/B Multiple A$1.91 A$2.55 A$3.19 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.4000 A$0.6000 A$0.7500 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.7900 A$0.8000 A$0.8500 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$1.04 A$1.49 A$1.93 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 99
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 52
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 62
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 28
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.5% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−12.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.4% vs 6.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → −39%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

EOS screens overvalued: fair value 76% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (23 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 5.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −24.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 283.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 7.68× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 7.41× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.17× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
TransDigm Group TDG $1,197 $1,317 +10% vs EOS
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA $152.92 $168.21 +10% vs EOS
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $567.08 $439.21 −23% vs EOS
General Dynamics Corporation GD $354.06 $274.19 −23% vs EOS
Thales S.A HO €221.70 €170.99 −23% vs EOS
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $525.01 $382.98 −27% vs EOS
Airbus SE AIR €196.40 €112.14 −43% vs EOS
RTX Corporation RTX $189.53 $88.19 −53% vs EOS
General Electric Company GE $323.24 $92.26 −71% vs EOS
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $205.81 $52.65 −74% vs EOS

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Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EOS

Frequently asked questions

Is Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.76 versus a price of A$7.48, about 76% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EOS?
Our model-based fair value for Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is A$1.76 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$7.48.
What is the quality score of EOS?
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.76 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.32, optimistic scenario A$2.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.76, about 76% lower versus a price of A$7.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$1.32, optimistic scenario A$2.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$253M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd it is A$1.76 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of A$7.48. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, EOS trades above its calculated fair value: price A$7.48, fair value A$1.76, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EOS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$7.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.76). For Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd the two are A$5.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd at about A$1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is A$7.48; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EOS?
Our models span a range for Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.32, base A$1.76, optimistic A$2.20 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price A$7.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of EOS?
The PEG ratio of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is 0.17 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −18.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EOS from its 52-week high?
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd trades at A$7.48, about 39% below its 52-week high of A$12.26 and 70% above the low of A$4.41 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price A$7.48, calculated fair value A$1.76 (−76%), Quality Score 39/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EOS calculated?
We run Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd through 10 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$1.76 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$7.48. Our model-based fair value is A$1.76, about 76% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$2.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
The market capitalisation of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is A$1.9B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is 7.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Earnings per share at Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd are A$−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
The net margin of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is −24.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is −18.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is −5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
The operating margin of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Revenue at Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is growing +283% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS)?
Earnings per share at Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd are growing +4.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS) generate?
The free cash flow of Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd is −A$44.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd (EOS) hold?
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$77.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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