Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (ERBOS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 3.1B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −8.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (166.85 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (166.85 TRY to 330.77 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 69.08 TRY – 304.94 TRY · fair‑value band 166.85 TRY – 330.77 TRY · the 155.50 TRY price screens below the 248.80 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (ERBOS) currently trades at 155.50 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 248.80 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 5.5B TRY at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue declined 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at 359M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 166.85 TRY (bear case) to 330.77 TRY (bull case); at 155.50 TRY, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 60%, ERBOS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (375.82 TRY) versus Asset-Based (117.65 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells carbon steel tubes and pipes in Turkey. It offers welded steel black and galvanized water and gas pipes for use in building heating, mechanical installations, and plumbing and ventilation systems; gas and line pipes used in LPG installation, and boiler tubes for drilling lines, as well as …
Full company description
Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells carbon steel tubes and pipes in Turkey. It offers welded steel black and galvanized water and gas pipes for use in building heating, mechanical installations, and plumbing and ventilation systems; gas and line pipes used in LPG installation, and boiler tubes for drilling lines, as well as natural gas, petroleum, and gas line projects; and sprinkler pipes that are used for sprinkler systems and fire protection. The company also provides industrial tubes and hollow sections for use in automotive, home appliances, furniture, greenhouse, construction, and transportation industries, as well as fence, industry and building, textile, and solar energy systems. In addition, it offers square, rectangular hollow sections and low-pressure boiler and steam pipes. Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1974 and is headquartered in Kayseri, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Erbosan Erciyas Boru Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 5.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.3B TRY in FY2021, a compound +44.0%/yr. Reported net income was −130M TRY in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥55.43 | ¥8.07 | -85% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.13 | ¥1.35 | -57% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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