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Empire State Realty Trust, Inc (ESRT) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.6B

Price$5.16
Fair Value$4.72
Upside-8.5%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.54 – $5.90

Analysis

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc (ESRT) currently trades at $5.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.72 — implying the stock looks roughly 8.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. is a NYC-focused REIT that owns and operates a portfolio of well-leased, modernized well-located offices and multifamily assets. ESRT's flagship Empire State Building, the (World's Most Famous Building) features its iconic Observatory. The Company is a recognized leader in energy efficiency and indoor environmental quality. As of March 31, 2026, ESRT's portfolio is comprised of approximately 8.0 million rentable square feet of office space, 0.8 million rentable square feet of retail space and 743 residential units. Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. was established on July 29, 2011, and was incorporated in 2011 in Maryland and is based in New York.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.