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Environmental Tectonics Corporation (ETCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $15.8M

ET Environmental Tectonics Corporation logo Environmental Tectonics Corporation ETCC · US
Price$1.75
Fair Value$4.68
Upside+167.4%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $1.80 – $6.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $5.61 to $4.68 (−16.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +6.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 167% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.80 to $6.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$2.96 $0.2200 Fair Value $4.68 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2200 – $2.96 · fair‑value band $1.80 – $6.97 · the $1.75 price screens below the $4.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Environmental Tectonics Corporation (ETCC) currently trades at $1.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.68, implying the stock looks roughly 167.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Environmental Tectonics Corporation generated revenue of $62.7M at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at $11.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.80 (bear case) to $6.97 (bull case); at $1.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 167%, ETCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.67 $2.17 $5.26 76
ROIC Compounder $3.97 $4.71 $5.47 72
Growth-Adj P/E $4.08 $5.83 $7.58 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.36 $3.34 $4.55 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.16 $6.45 $8.54 54
Lynch FV $1.36 $1.94 $2.53 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.36 $1.94 $2.53 46
EPV $3.79 $4.27 $4.67 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.01 $6.68 $8.35 63
P/S Multiple $4.06 $5.41 $6.76 58
P/B Multiple $4.06 $5.41 $6.76 55
EV/EBIT $8.60 $11.55 $14.51 53
EV/EBITDA $6.82 $9.18 $11.55 54
EV/Revenue $6.06 $8.77 $11.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8500 $1.13 $1.69 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.67 $2.17 $5.26 76
ROIC Compounder $3.97 $4.71 $5.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.08 $5.83 $7.58 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.68) versus Asset-Based ($1.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $62.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.0%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 20.9%
Free cash flow −$739K FY2026
Operating margin 7.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3500
EPS growth (YoY) -98.7%
Net debt $11.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Environmental Tectonics Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace Solutions and Commercial/Industrial Systems.

Full company description

Environmental Tectonics Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace Solutions and Commercial/Industrial Systems. The company is involved in design, manufacture, and sale of aeromedical centers, authentic tactical fighting system motion platforms, interchangeable cockpit modules, human centrifuge and trainer, advanced spatial disorientation training and research devices, fixed and rotary wing spatial disorientation trainer, fixed wing aviation trainer, rotary wing aviation trainer, night vision training system, night vision goggle training system, altitude chambers, multiplace hyperbaric chambers, ejection seat simulator, pilot selection systems, water survival training equipment, vestibular illusion demonstrator, interactive motion based simulation and virtual reality equipment designed for the education/entertainment industry, and advanced disaster management simulation products. It also offers tactical flight training, high-G training, hypoxia training, situational awareness and spatial disorientation training, aeromedical training, suborbital and orbital commercial human spaceflight training, upset prevention and recovery training, crew resource management training, advanced pilot training, basic pilot training, pilot selection, emergency response training, and integrated logistics support services. In addition, the company provides steam and gas (ethylene oxide) sterilizers systems; parts and service support; and environmental testing and simulation systems services. The company serves military defense agencies, government, training devices, advanced disaster, oil and gas industry, original equipment manufacturers, fire and emergency training schools, universities, commercial operations, and airports. Environmental Tectonics Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Southampton, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Environmental Tectonics Corporation reported revenue of $62.7M in FY2026 versus $19.1M in FY2022, a compound +34.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.0M in FY2026, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$62.7M
Latest YoY
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.0%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue +34.6%/yr
FY22 $19.1M
FY23 $26.3M
FY24 $43.3M
FY25 $62.9M
FY26 $62.7M
Net income +14.0%/yr
FY22 $1.8M
FY23 −$1.6M
FY24 $1.8M
FY25 $13.1M
FY26 $3.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Environmental Tectonics Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ETCC

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +167% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.25× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 46
PAST 84 · sector 38
HEALTH 69 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Environmental Tectonics Corporation (ETCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.68 versus a price of $1.75, about +167% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ETCC?
Our model-based fair value for Environmental Tectonics Corporation is $4.68 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.75.
What is the quality score of ETCC?
Environmental Tectonics Corporation has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Environmental Tectonics Corporation (ETCC)?
Environmental Tectonics Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $62.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ETCC?
The net profit margin of Environmental Tectonics Corporation is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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