Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Environmmtl Tectonic $5.25, price $1.75, upside +200.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2200 – $2.96 · fair‑value band $3.67 – $6.68 · the $1.75 price screens below the $5.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Environmental Tectonics Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace Solutions and Commercial/Industrial Systems.
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Environmental Tectonics Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aerospace Solutions and Commercial/Industrial Systems. The company is involved in design, manufacture, and sale of aeromedical centers, authentic tactical fighting system motion platforms, interchangeable cockpit modules, human centrifuge and trainer, advanced spatial disorientation training and research devices, fixed and rotary wing spatial disorientation trainer, fixed wing aviation trainer, rotary wing aviation trainer, night vision training system, night vision goggle training system, altitude chambers, multiplace hyperbaric chambers, ejection seat simulator, pilot selection systems, water survival training equipment, vestibular illusion demonstrator, interactive motion based simulation and virtual reality equipment designed for the education/entertainment industry, and advanced disaster management simulation products. It also offers tactical flight training, high-G training, hypoxia training, situational awareness and spatial disorientation training, aeromedical training, suborbital and orbital commercial human spaceflight training, upset prevention and recovery training, crew resource management training, advanced pilot training, basic pilot training, pilot selection, emergency response training, and integrated logistics support services. In addition, the company provides steam and gas (ethylene oxide) sterilizers systems; parts and service support; and environmental testing and simulation systems services. The company serves military defense agencies, government, training devices, advanced disaster, oil and gas industry, original equipment manufacturers, fire and emergency training schools, universities, commercial operations, and airports. Environmental Tectonics Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Southampton, Pennsylvania.
Stock analysis
Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC) currently trades at $1.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.25, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.91 per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the $1.75 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.13, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $3.67 (bear) to $6.68 (bull), the price of $1.75 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Environmmtl Tectonic reported revenue of $62.7M in FY2026 versus $19.1M in FY2022, a compound +34.6%/yr. Reported net income was $3.0M in FY2026, compounding +14.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $29.1M · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3500 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 20.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin 7.3% · Revenue (TTM) $62.7M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 200%, ETCC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.67Fair Value $5.25Bull $6.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−44% → 11%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Environmmtl Tectonic Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ETCC
Frequently asked questions
Is Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.25 versus a price of $1.75, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ETCC?
Our model-based fair value for Environmmtl Tectonic is $5.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.75.
What is the quality score of ETCC?
Environmmtl Tectonic has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.67, optimistic scenario $6.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Environmmtl Tectonic stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.25, about +200% upside versus a price of $1.75 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.67, optimistic scenario $6.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Environmmtl Tectonic reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $62.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Environmmtl Tectonic it is $5.25 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.75. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Environmmtl Tectonic stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ETCC trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.75, fair value $5.25, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ETCC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.25). For Environmmtl Tectonic the two are $3.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Environmmtl Tectonic worth?
The market values Environmmtl Tectonic at about $29.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.75; our models calculate a fair value of $5.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ETCC?
Our models span a range for Environmmtl Tectonic: cautious scenario $3.67, base $5.25, optimistic $6.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Environmmtl Tectonic (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 20.9%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ETCC from its 52-week high?
Environmmtl Tectonic trades at $1.75, about 13% below its 52-week high of $2.00 and 157% above the low of $0.6800 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Environmmtl Tectonic?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Environmmtl Tectonic stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.75, calculated fair value $5.25 (+200%), Quality Score 39/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ETCC calculated?
We run Environmmtl Tectonic through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Environmmtl Tectonic currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.75. Our model-based fair value is $5.25, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Environmmtl Tectonic right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.67). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($3.67 to $6.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Environmmtl Tectonic
How large is the market capitalisation of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
The market capitalisation of Environmmtl Tectonic is $29.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Environmmtl Tectonic is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Earnings per share at Environmmtl Tectonic are $−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
The net margin of Environmmtl Tectonic is 4.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Environmmtl Tectonic is 20.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Environmmtl Tectonic is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
The operating margin of Environmmtl Tectonic is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Revenue at Environmmtl Tectonic is growing −19.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC)?
Earnings per share at Environmmtl Tectonic are growing −98.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC) generate?
The free cash flow of Environmmtl Tectonic is −$739K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Environmmtl Tectonic (ETCC) carry?
The net debt of Environmmtl Tectonic is $11.4M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026