EPC Groupe (EXPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · FR · Market cap €610M
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from €197.31 to €189.08 (−4.2%) since Jul 16, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€117.51 to €278.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €43.21 – €294.00 · fair‑value band €117.51 – €278.59 · the €278.00 price screens above the €189.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
EPC Groupe (EXPL) currently trades at €278.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €189.08, implying the stock looks roughly 32.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, EPC Groupe generated revenue of €544M at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue grew 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at €77.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €117.51 (bear case) to €278.59 (bull case); at €278.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -32%, EXPL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€226.65) versus Dividend Discount (€16.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EPC Groupe engages in the manufacture, storage, and distribution of explosives in Europe, Africa, Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company also provides drilling and mining services; logistics services; and demolition services, including mechanical demolition, deconstruction and blasting of buildings, waste management, and asbestos removal.
Full company description
EPC Groupe engages in the manufacture, storage, and distribution of explosives in Europe, Africa, Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company also provides drilling and mining services; logistics services; and demolition services, including mechanical demolition, deconstruction and blasting of buildings, waste management, and asbestos removal. In addition, it engages in underground, tunnels and infrastructure works; and training services. It serves customers operating in the mining, cement, aggregates, civil engineering, and defense industries. EPC Groupe was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Paris, France. EPC Groupe operates as a subsidiary of Ste E.J. Barbier.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EPC Groupe reported revenue of €539M in FY2025 versus €378M in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was €28.5M in FY2025, compounding +48.5%/yr from FY2021.
EXPL screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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