Excite Technology Services Limited (EXT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$18.4M
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price −37.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (27/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0085). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0085 to A$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0030 – A$0.0420 · fair‑value band A$0.0085 – A$0.0170 · the A$0.0050 price screens below the A$0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Excite Technology Services Limited (EXT) currently trades at A$0.0050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Excite Technology Services Limited generated revenue of A$21.3M at a net margin of -25.3%. Revenue declined 16.9% year over year. Net debt stands at A$9.8M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0085 (bear case) to A$0.0170 (bull case); at A$0.0050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 70%, EXT screens cheaper than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Excite Technology Services Limited provides cyber security services development and data security technology to enterprise and government sectors in Australasia and Germany. It offers maintenance and support; services; digital forensics and training services; and engages in the resale of hardware and software.
Full company description
Excite Technology Services Limited provides cyber security services development and data security technology to enterprise and government sectors in Australasia and Germany. It offers maintenance and support; services; digital forensics and training services; and engages in the resale of hardware and software. The company also provides managed services, such as managed detection and response, managed endpoint detection and response, cyber incident response and retainer, and managed security infrastructure services; and professional services comprising penetration testing and assessment, and phishing assessments. In addition, it offers consulting services, including guidance and support services for ISO 27001 certification, NIST cybersecurity framework v2.0, ASD essential eight, information technology (IT) strategy, digital strategy consulting services, cybersite360, business continuity and disaster recovery planning, cybersecurity strategy development service, and industrial control systems (ICS) cybersecurity. The company was formerly known as Cipherpoint Limited and changed its name to Excite Technology Services Limited in September 2023. Excite Technology Services Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Excite Technology Services Limited reported revenue of A$21.3M in FY2026 versus A$4.0M in FY2022, a compound +51.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.4M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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