Ferrari Group (FERGR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · NL · Market cap €726M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €11.28 to €11.66 (+3.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 46% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€8.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range €6.06 – €10.67 · fair‑value band €8.74 – €14.33 · the €8.01 price screens below the €11.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Ferrari Group (FERGR) currently trades at €8.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.66, implying the stock looks roughly 45.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ferrari Group generated revenue of €359M at a net margin of 14.1%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €97.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €8.74 (bear case) to €14.33 (bull case); at €8.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 46%, FERGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€12.21) versus Asset-Based (€1.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ferrari Group PLC provides shipping, integrated logistics, and value-added services for jewelry and precious goods in Europe, Asia, North America, Brazil, and internationally.
Full company description
Ferrari Group PLC provides shipping, integrated logistics, and value-added services for jewelry and precious goods in Europe, Asia, North America, Brazil, and internationally. The company offers freight forwarding, ground transportation, and security services; ground transportation, and security services; VAT identification services for non-residents; custom solutions and security services for jewelry and watches exhibitions, and trade shows; warehousing services comprising inventory, assembling, and packing services; and tax, hand carry, white gloves, red carpet, and private shopping experience services, as well as on-location services for filming and photo shootings. It also provides packaging, handling, storage, and insurance solutions for artworks; quality control services, including jewelry checks and general/functional checks for watches; after-sales services; and hallmarking services. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. Ferrari Group PLC operates as a subsidiary of Deiana Holding Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ferrari Group reported revenue of €359M in FY2025 versus €236M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was €50.7M in FY2025, compounding +5.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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