FFI Holdings (FFI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$58.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from A$3.73 (bear) to A$5.94 (bull), base A$4.96. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.00 – A$7.36 · fair‑value band A$3.73 – A$5.94 · the A$4.28 price screens below the A$4.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
FFI Holdings (FFI) currently trades at A$4.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.96, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, FFI Holdings generated revenue of A$62.1M at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at A$4.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$3.73 (bear case) to A$5.94 (bull case); at A$4.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 16%, FFI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$9.07) versus Dividend Discount (A$1.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FFI Holdings Limited, a food processing company, engages in the processing, manufacturing, packaging, and distribution of food products in Australia. The company operates through the Food Operations and Investment Property segments.
Full company description
FFI Holdings Limited, a food processing company, engages in the processing, manufacturing, packaging, and distribution of food products in Australia. The company operates through the Food Operations and Investment Property segments. It manufactures and sells cooking chocolate, chocolate-coated confectionery, sugar confectionery, cake decorations, ready-to-roll icing, and popcorn snack foods under the Nemar, Golden Popcorn, and Orchard Icing brands; processes and packages home cooking need products under the Prepact and Snowflake brands. The company also engages in contract packing for third-party brands; and manufactures, sells, and processes apple products, fruit and baker's fillings, chocolate, chocolate compounds, and cake decoration toppings for the bakery and pastry cooks industry. In addition, it engages in industrial and commercial property investment and leasing activities. The company serves manufacturing, wholesale, and retail food companies. FFI Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Jandakot, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FFI Holdings reported revenue of A$58.5M in FY2025 versus A$36.7M in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$6.7M in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch FFI: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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