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Fortinova Fastigheter AB (FNOVA-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SE · Market cap 1.2B SEK (≈ $126M) · ISIN SE0014608915

What is Fortinova Fastigheter AB really worth?

FF Fortinova Fastigheter AB FNOVA-B · ST
Pricekr 23.40
Fair Valuekr 39.27
Upside+67.8%
Quality64/100

A solid business, trading 40% below our fair value of kr 39.27.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 29.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +23.1 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100
Evidence: High Range kr 39.14 – kr 62.76

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 39.14). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 61.25 kr 18.13 Fair Value kr 39.27 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 18.13 – kr 61.25 · fair‑value band kr 39.14 – kr 62.76 · the kr 23.40 price screens below the kr 39.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Fortinova Fastigheter AB (FNOVA-B) currently trades at kr 23.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 39.27, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 47.65 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the kr 23.40 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 9.92, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Fortinova Fastigheter AB generated revenue of 405M SEK at a net margin of 36.8%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at 2.5B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 39.14 (bear case) to kr 62.76 (bull case); at kr 23.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 68%, FNOVA-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 2.30 per share, which is 5.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 33.37 77
Residual Income kr 37.71 kr 38.76 kr 38.88 76
Growth DCF kr 22.35 75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 33.37 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 19.62 kr 63.82 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 36.43 kr 89.45 72
10Y Revenue Exit kr 10.94 kr 56.53 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 22.57 kr 77.25 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 6.03 kr 10.86 kr 14.95 68
DDM Multi-Stage kr 6.03 kr 9.92 kr 11.60 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 39.14 kr 52.18 kr 65.23 58
P/B Multiple kr 45.34 kr 60.45 kr 75.56 55
EV/EBIT kr 24.58 kr 47.65 kr 70.72 63
EV/EBITDA kr 9.08 kr 26.99 kr 44.90 62
EV/Revenue kr 9.89 kr 26.25 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 24.68 kr 33.07 kr 49.35 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 22.35 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 18.21 kr 58.87 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 37.71 kr 38.76 kr 38.88 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 47.65) versus Dividend Discount (kr 9.92). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.6 as of Jul 19, 2026
P/S ratio 4.68 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 2.30 price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6
Dividend yield 2.9% payout 29.8%
Net margin 44.3% FY2025
Return on equity 5.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 52.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 413M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9% 3y avg +10.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −85.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 103M SEK FY2025
Net debt 2.5B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 24.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Fortinova Fastigheter AB (Publ) acquires, develops, and manages residential properties in Sweden. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Varberg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fortinova Fastigheter AB reported revenue of 383M SEK in FY2025 versus 197M SEK in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was 170M SEK in FY2025, compounding −14.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
383M SEK
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−0.8% (−3.7 + 2.9)
Revenue +18.1%/yr
FY21 197M SEK
FY22 286M SEK
FY23 332M SEK
FY24 367M SEK
FY25 383M SEK
Net income −14.1%/yr
FY21 311M SEK
FY22 144M SEK
FY23 −263M SEK
FY24 114M SEK
FY25 170M SEK

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fortinova Fastigheter AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FNOVA-B

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 523 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 53% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.03× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.91× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 30
FUTURE40 · sector 11
PAST20 · sector 17
HEALTH49 · sector 84
DIVIDEND59 · sector 63

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CBRE Group CBRE $148.74 $69.47 −53%
Vonovia SE VNA €19.85 €36.67 +85%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €27.47 €25.46 −7%
KE Holdings BEKE $17.42 $6.57 −62%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $378.01 $290.25 −23%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.84 HK$5.12 −79%
CoStar Group CSGP $32.22 $4.64 −86%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.84 HK$34.95 −12%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.66 SGD 0.4900 SGD −82%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 4,040 CLP 4,571 CLP +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fortinova Fastigheter AB (FNOVA-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 39.27 versus a price of kr 23.40, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FNOVA-B?
Our model-based fair value for Fortinova Fastigheter AB is kr 39.27 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 23.40.
What is the quality score of FNOVA-B?
Fortinova Fastigheter AB has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fortinova Fastigheter AB (FNOVA-B)?
Fortinova Fastigheter AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 405M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FNOVA-B?
The net profit margin of Fortinova Fastigheter AB is about 36.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fortinova Fastigheter AB pay a dividend?
Fortinova Fastigheter AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.93% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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