Fibra Shop (FSHOP13) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Fibra Shop MXN 29.80, price MXN 11.92, upside +150.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.45 MXN – 12.80 MXN · fair‑value band 13.84 MXN – 58.41 MXN · the 11.92 MXN price screens below the 29.80 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Fibra Shop is a unique real estate investment option in Mexico, distinguished by its specialization, highly experienced human capital in the commercial real estate sector, solid operational structure, and corporate governance. Together, these elements ensure transparency, efficiency, and secure, profitable growth.
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Fibra Shop is a unique real estate investment option in Mexico, distinguished by its specialization, highly experienced human capital in the commercial real estate sector, solid operational structure, and corporate governance. Together, these elements ensure transparency, efficiency, and secure, profitable growth. Fibra Shop is a real estate and infrastructure trust primarily established to acquire, own, manage, and develop real estate properties in the shopping center sector in Mexico. It is managed by industry specialists with extensive experience and externally advised by Fibra Shop Portfolios Inmobiliarios, S.C. Our goal is to provide attractive returns to our investors holding CBFIs through stable distributions and capital appreciation. Fibra Shop was established on June 21, 2013 and incorporated in Mexico.
Stock analysis
Fibra Shop (FSHOP13) currently trades at 11.92 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.80 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 87.48 MXN per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the 11.92 MXN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 19.56 MXN, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 13.84 MXN (bear) to 58.41 MXN (bull), the price of 11.92 MXN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Fibra Shop reported revenue of 2.5B MXN in FY2025 versus 1.4B MXN in FY2021, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B MXN in FY2025, compounding +17.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.4B MXN (≈ $424M) · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 2.86 · EPS (TTM) 3.07 MXN · Dividend yield 6.0% · Net margin 73.6% · Return on equity 11.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 150%, FSHOP13 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 13.84 MXNFair Value 29.80 MXNBull 58.41 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.73 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+101.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 74%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Retail · 93 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+150% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)78% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)72% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.66× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fibra Shop Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FSHOP13
Frequently asked questions
Is Fibra Shop (FSHOP13) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.80 MXN versus a price of 11.92 MXN, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FSHOP13?
Our model-based fair value for Fibra Shop is 29.80 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.92 MXN.
What is the quality score of FSHOP13?
Fibra Shop has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.80 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.84 MXN, optimistic scenario 58.41 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fibra Shop stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.80 MXN, about +150% upside versus a price of 11.92 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 13.84 MXN, optimistic scenario 58.41 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Fibra Shop reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.7B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Fibra Shop pay a dividend?
Fibra Shop currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fibra Shop would have to grow free cash flow by +2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +101.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FSHOP13 use?
Our models discount Fibra Shop at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fibra Shop that is +2.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fibra Shop (FSHOP13) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fibra Shop grew +101.7 % a year. The price currently implies +2.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fibra Shop (+2.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 25.19 %: that much free cash flow Fibra Shop produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fibra Shop it is 29.80 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 11.92 MXN. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fibra Shop stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FSHOP13 trades below its calculated fair value: price 11.92 MXN, fair value 29.80 MXN, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FSHOP13?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.92 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.80 MXN). For Fibra Shop the two are 17.88 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fibra Shop worth?
The market values Fibra Shop at about 7.4B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 11.92 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 29.80 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FSHOP13?
Our models span a range for Fibra Shop: cautious scenario 13.84 MXN, base 29.80 MXN, optimistic 58.41 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 11.92 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FSHOP13?
Fibra Shop trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29.80 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 10.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fibra Shop (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.6%, debt of 0.66 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FSHOP13 from its 52-week high?
Fibra Shop trades at 11.92 MXN, about 7% below its 52-week high of 12.80 MXN and 51% above the low of 7.88 MXN (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.80 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fibra Shop?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE, Kimco Realty Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fibra Shop stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 11.92 MXN, calculated fair value 29.80 MXN (+150%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FSHOP13 calculated?
We run Fibra Shop through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29.80 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Fibra Shop currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 11.92 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 29.80 MXN, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fibra Shop right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.84 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (13.84 MXN to 58.41 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Fibra Shop
How large is the market capitalisation of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The market capitalisation of Fibra Shop is 7.4B MXN (≈ $424M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fibra Shop is 2.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Earnings per share at Fibra Shop are 3.07 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The dividend yield of Fibra Shop is 6.0% (payout 23.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The net margin of Fibra Shop is 73.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fibra Shop is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fibra Shop is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
The operating margin of Fibra Shop is 71.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Revenue at Fibra Shop is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fibra Shop (FSHOP13)?
Earnings per share at Fibra Shop are growing +32.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fibra Shop (FSHOP13) carry?
The net debt of Fibra Shop is 12.1B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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