Fairvest Limited (FTA) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ZA · Market cap 42.2B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R8.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (R4.73 to R8.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range R0.1640 – R20.12 · fair‑value band R4.73 – R8.98 · the R20.00 price screens above the R6.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Fairvest Limited (FTA) currently trades at R20.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R6.86, implying the stock looks roughly 65.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Fairvest Limited generated revenue of 2.6B ZAR at a net margin of 62.3%. Revenue grew 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at 3.8B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R4.73 (bear case) to R8.98 (bull case); at R20.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -66%, FTA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R22.71) versus Dividend Discount (R3.03). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fairvest Limited (Fairvest) is a diversified South African Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) focused on creating long-term shareholder value. Fairvest holds a portfolio of 130 retail, office and industrial properties valued at R13.4 billion (held directly and through subsidiaries).
Full company description
Fairvest Limited (Fairvest) is a diversified South African Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) focused on creating long-term shareholder value. Fairvest holds a portfolio of 130 retail, office and industrial properties valued at R13.4 billion (held directly and through subsidiaries). The average value per property held as of 30 September 2025 was R103.3 million. As of 30 September 2025, Fairvest held a 23.6% interest (2024: 5.0%) in Dipula Properties Limited (Dipula). As of 30 September 2025, Fairvest held a 79.9% interest (2024: 0%) in Onepath Investments (RF) Proprietary Limited (Onepath). Onepath owns fibre infrastructure in townships which is rented to a fibre network operator to provide high quality internet access to township homes and communities. Fairvest Limited was incorporated in 1998 in South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fairvest Limited reported revenue of R2.2B in FY2025 versus R550M in FY2021, a compound +41.1%/yr. Reported net income was R1.5B in FY2025, compounding +50.0%/yr from FY2021.
FTA screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $229.78 | $86.11 | -63% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $65.60 | $30.71 | -53% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.65 | €101.67 | -2% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $26.10 | $12.60 | -52% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.47 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | -63% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.93 | A$3.34 | -15% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $82.15 | $33.69 | -59% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.22 | HK$41.98 | +7% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $126.08 | $41.96 | -67% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $32.44 | $13.18 | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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