Gambling.com Group (GAMB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $83.2M
Gambling.com Group
GAMB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $6.26 to $0.7000 (−88.8%) since Jul 24, 2026. Share price −87.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 173% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.4600 to $1.30). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2520 – $16.75 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $1.30 · the $0.2560 price screens below the $0.7000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
Gambling.com Group (GAMB) currently trades at $0.2560, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7000, implying the stock looks roughly 173.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gambling.com Group generated revenue of $165M at a net margin of -27.4%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -35.6%. Net debt stands at $108M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4600 (bear case) to $1.30 (bull case); at $0.2560, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 173%, GAMB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.42) versus Asset-Based ($0.2200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gambling.com Group Limited provides marketing and sports data services for the gambling industry in North America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers digital marketing, and consumer and enterprise data subscription services for iGaming and social casino products.
Full company description
Gambling.com Group Limited provides marketing and sports data services for the gambling industry in North America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers digital marketing, and consumer and enterprise data subscription services for iGaming and social casino products. It also provides intra group and ticketing services, as well as fantasy data. In addition, the company offers sports betting and fantasy sports data through its sports data platform and under the OddsJam, OpticOdds, and RotoWire brand names. Additionally, it operates various branded websites, including Gambling.com, Bookies.com, Casinos.com, and Freebets.com. Further, the company operates BonusFinder.com; Spotlight.Vegas, an online booking platform that helps customers access experiences, such as live events and local attractions; and launched website to individual U.S. states and the Canadian states that provide local online gamblers with the news and analysis. Gambling.com Group Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Saint Helier, Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gambling.com Group reported revenue of $165M in FY2025 versus $42.3M in FY2021, a compound +40.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$32.9M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Gambling.com Group (GAMB) Stock Draws Fresh Price Target Split After Guidance Cut
- How The Story On Gambling.com Group (GAMB) Is Shifting After Reset Guidance And Mixed Views
- Gambling.com Group Limited (GAMB) PT Cut at Truist Following Q4 Results and Weak 2026 Guidance
- Gambling.com Group appoints Kevin McCrystle as CEO
Peer Group
Gambling · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $110.66 | $88.33 | -20% |
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 684.00 | kr 974.80 | +43% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.62 | A$2.99 | -47% |
| Super Group SGHC | $14.73 | $9.39 | -36% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €25.62 | €16.38 | -36% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $78.94 | $70.17 | -11% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $83.95 | $94.74 | +13% |
| FDJ United FDJ | €23.24 | €20.97 | -10% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $10.71 | $17.61 | +64% |
| Tabcorp Holdings TAH | A$0.8750 | A$0.3700 | -58% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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