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GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of GCL Global Holdings Ltd $0.75, price $0.76, upside -1.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · ISIN KYG3777K1031

GG GCL Global Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

GCL Global Holdings Ltd

GCL · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $0.7500 · Fairly valued (−1.1%)
!Quality 59/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +29.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/9)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.3600 to $1.47
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$11.47 $0.3810 Fair Value $0.7500 Apr 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range $0.3810 – $11.47 · fair‑value band $0.3600 – $1.47 · the $0.7580 price screens above the $0.7500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

GCL Global Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and markets video games and other entertainment content in Asia, Europe, the United States, and Latin America.

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GCL Global Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, publishes, distributes, and markets video games and other entertainment content in Asia, Europe, the United States, and Latin America. The company operates through three segments: Distribution and Sale of PC and Console Games; Game Publishing; and Video Marketing Campaign and Social Media Advertising Services. It offers a portfolio of digital and physical content to bridge cultures and audiences by introducing Asian-developed IP to a global audience across consoles, PCs, and streaming platforms, as well as media and content advertising services for small and medium-sized enterprises and government agencies. The company is headquartered in Singapore.

Stock analysis

GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares (GCL) currently trades at $0.7580, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7500, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.1%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.3600 (bear) to $1.47 (bull), the price of $0.7580 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $142M in FY2025 versus $65.8M in FY2022, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $56.6M · P/E ratio 75.8 · P/S ratio 0.30 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin −6.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at −1%, GCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3600 Fair Value $0.7500 Bull $1.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $0.2600 $0.5200 $0.9800 69
EV/EBITDA $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 64
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.2600 $0.5200 $0.9800 69
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0600 $0.0800 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+45.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.1% (2022) → −1.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 139 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +4.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Return on assets −1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −6.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 93.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 75.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)32 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc NTES $121.82 $254.16 +109%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $203.62 $75.29 −63%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $43.00 $45.24 +5%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥14.23 ¥27.63 +94%
International Games System Co 3293 761.00 TWD 1,094 TWD +44%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥23.62 ¥31.97 +35%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 198,000 KRW 410,472 KRW +107%
CD Projekt S.A CDR 244.60 PLN 269.06 PLN +10%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥17.38 ¥39.02 +125%
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥16.17 ¥22.00 +36%

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GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares · Fair Value
$0.7500 −1%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCL

Frequently asked questions

Is GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7500 versus a price of $0.7580, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GCL?
Our model-based fair value for GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is $0.7500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7580.
What is the quality score of GCL?
GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $1.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7500, about −1% upside versus a price of $0.7580 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.3600, optimistic scenario $1.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $190M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares it is $0.7500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.7580. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GCL trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.7580, fair value $0.7500, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7580); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7500). For GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares the two are $0.0080 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares at about $56.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.7580; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GCL?
Our models span a range for GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.3600, base $0.7500, optimistic $1.47 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.7580). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GCL?
GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 75.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7500 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GCL from its 52-week high?
GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares trades at $0.7580, about 71% below its 52-week high of $2.63 and 99% above the low of $0.3810 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.7580, calculated fair value $0.7500 (−1%), Quality Score 59/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GCL calculated?
We run GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.7580. Our model-based fair value is $0.7500, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.3600 to $1.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
The market capitalisation of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is $56.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is 0.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
Earnings per share at GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 75.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
The net margin of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is −0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is 1.8% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
The operating margin of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
Revenue at GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is growing +93.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL)?
Earnings per share at GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares are growing +37.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL) generate?
The free cash flow of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is −$661K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GCL Global Holdings Ltd (GCL) carry?
The net debt of GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares is $1.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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