GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A $89.53, price $52.50, upside +70.5%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range $4.27 – $53.25 · fair‑value band $56.57 – $135.13 · the $52.50 price screens below the $89.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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GigaCloud Technology Inc. provides end-to-end B2B ecommerce solutions for large parcel merchandise in the United States and internationally. The company offers GigaCloud Marketplace that integrates product discovery to payments and logistics tools into one easy-to-use platform.
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GigaCloud Technology Inc. provides end-to-end B2B ecommerce solutions for large parcel merchandise in the United States and internationally. The company offers GigaCloud Marketplace that integrates product discovery to payments and logistics tools into one easy-to-use platform. It's marketplace connects manufacturers primarily in Asia with resellers in the United States, Asia, and Europe to execute cross-border transactions across furniture, home appliance, fitness equipment, and other large parcel categories. The company was formerly known as Oriental Standard Human Resources Holdings Limited and changed its name to GigaCloud Technology Inc. in February 2021. GigaCloud Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in El Monte, California.
Stock analysis
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (GCT) currently trades at $52.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $89.53, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $166.93 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $52.50 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $29.11, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $56.57 (bear) to $135.13 (bull), the price of $52.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $414M in FY2021, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was $137M in FY2025, compounding +47.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) $3.95 · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 32.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.3% · Operating margin 11.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 71%, GCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $56.57Fair Value $89.53Bull $135.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.90 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.1%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+25.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 11%
2025 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.4% a year for the price and +6.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+71% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCT
Frequently asked questions
Is GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $89.53 versus a price of $52.50, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GCT?
Our model-based fair value for GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is $89.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $52.50.
What is the quality score of GCT?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $89.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $56.57, optimistic scenario $135.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $89.53, about +71% upside versus a price of $52.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $56.57, optimistic scenario $135.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares would have to grow free cash flow by +1.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GCT use?
Our models discount GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares that is +1.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares grew +36.2 % a year. The price currently implies +1.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (+1.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.11 %: that much free cash flow GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares it is $89.53 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $52.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GCT trades below its calculated fair value: price $52.50, fair value $89.53, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GCT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($52.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($89.53). For GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $37.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $52.50; our models calculate a fair value of $89.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GCT?
Our models span a range for GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $56.57, base $89.53, optimistic $135.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $52.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GCT?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $89.53 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 4.1, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
What is the PEG ratio of GCT?
The PEG ratio of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is 0.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
Balance-sheet figures for GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 32.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GCT from its 52-week high?
GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $52.50, about 1% below its 52-week high of $53.25 and 106% above the low of $25.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $89.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $52.50, calculated fair value $89.53 (+71%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GCT calculated?
We run GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $89.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $52.50. Our model-based fair value is $89.53, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($56.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($56.57 to $135.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The market capitalisation of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is 0.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
Earnings per share at GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares are $3.95 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The net margin of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is 10.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is 32.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is 13.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
The operating margin of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
Revenue at GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is growing +32.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +38.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT)?
Earnings per share at GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares are growing +53.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A (GCT) carry?
The net debt of GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares is $89.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026