Gerdau S.A (GGBR3) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · BR · Market cap R$40.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +8.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$13.74 – R$20.95 · fair‑value band R$8.94 – R$16.97 · the R$19.96 price screens above the R$13.93 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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Gerdau S.A (GGBR3) currently trades at R$19.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$13.93, implying the stock looks roughly 30.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gerdau S.A generated revenue of R$69.2B at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at R$10.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$8.94 (bear case) to R$16.97 (bull case); at R$19.96, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -30%, GGBR3 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a steel producer company. It operates through Brazil Business, North America Business, and South America Business segments. The company offers rebars, bars, wires, thick plates, hot rolled coils, billets, blooms, plates, wire rods, and structural profiles. It also provides special steel products for agricultural, automotive, construction, distribution, energy, industrial, and mining markets. In addition, it operates mines that produce iron ore located in Brazil. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gerdau S.A reported revenue of R$69.9B in FY2025 versus R$78.3B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.4B in FY2025, compounding −45.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Gerdau (GGB) Could Be a Great Choice
- Gerdau (BOVESPA:GGBR4) Stock Gets Fair Value Bump After Analyst Target Increases
- Is Aperam (APEMY) Stock Outpacing Its Basic Materials Peers This Year?
- Here’s What Analysts Think About Gerdau S.A. (GGB)
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$103.95 | R$9.67 | -91% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$172.80 | R$119.18 | -31% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,282 | ₹1,113 | -13% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹206.77 | ₹131.96 | -36% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.75 | ¥8.07 | +40% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 390,000 KRW | 106,072 KRW | -73% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 14,537 ARS | +6% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,132 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,786 | ₹1,099 | -38% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 95.34 | kr 70.89 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.