Gold Mountain Ltd (GMN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$23.1M (≈ $16.7M) · ISIN AU000000GMN8
What is Gold Mountain Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 62% below our fair value of A$0.1697.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from A$0.1680 to A$0.1697 (+1.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −9.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.1342). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0450 – A$1.60 · fair‑value band A$0.1342 – A$0.2052 · the A$0.0650 price screens below the A$0.1697 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Gold Mountain Ltd (GMN) currently trades at A$0.0650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1697, implying the stock looks roughly 61.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$0.2100 per share, and 3 of the 4 models we run sit above the A$0.0650 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0300, and 1 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$76.9K. Revenue grew 102.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −30.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1342 (bear case) to A$0.2052 (bull case); at A$0.0650, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 161%, GMN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.2100) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (64).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Gold Mountain Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Australia and Brazil. The company explores for gold, lithium, copper, niobium, rare earth elements, molybdenum, and other precious and base metal deposits. Its flagship property is the Down Under Rare Earths Project located in Jequié Region, Brazil.
Full company description
Gold Mountain Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Australia and Brazil. The company explores for gold, lithium, copper, niobium, rare earth elements, molybdenum, and other precious and base metal deposits. Its flagship property is the Down Under Rare Earths Project located in Jequié Region, Brazil. The company was formerly known as Commissioners Gold Limited and changed its name to Gold Mountain Limited in December 2014. Gold Mountain Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Cottesloe, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gold Mountain Ltd reported revenue of A$76.9K in FY2025 versus A$788K in FY2021, a compound −44.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$8.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Gold · 247 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation K | C$38.29 | C$34.62 | −10% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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