Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Greek Org of Football Prognostics $6.60, price $6.89, upside -4.2%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.95 – $10.91 · fair‑value band $4.91 – $8.28 · the $6.89 price screens above the $6.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Allwyn AG engages in the operation of numerical and instant lotteries, casinos, sports and other odds betting, and other similar games in Austria, Czech Republic, Greece, Cyprus, Italy, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Germany, and the United States.
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Allwyn AG engages in the operation of numerical and instant lotteries, casinos, sports and other odds betting, and other similar games in Austria, Czech Republic, Greece, Cyprus, Italy, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Germany, and the United States. It also engages in video lottery terminals, online lottery games, online instant win games, online casino, and slot gaming. In addition, the company offers mobile telecommunication services, including voice, messages, and data to retail customers, as well as phone top-up services. Further, it sells food and beverages. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Lucerne, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) currently trades at $6.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.60, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $5.95 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $6.89 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $1.11, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.91 (bear) to $8.28 (bull), the price of $6.89 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Greek Org of Football Prognostics reported revenue of €1.3B in FY2025 versus €1.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was €464M in FY2025, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $12.5B · P/E ratio 9.2 · P/S ratio 3.40 · EPS (TTM) $0.7500 · Dividend yield 9.4% · Net margin 37.0% · Return on equity 94.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at −4%, GOFPY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.91Fair Value $6.60Bull $8.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5486 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+24.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 52%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −15.9% a year for the price.
Compare Greek Org of Football Prognostics with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 57 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)95% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)9.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greek Org of Football Prognostics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOFPY
Frequently asked questions
Is Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.60 versus a price of $6.89, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GOFPY?
Our model-based fair value for Greek Org of Football Prognostics is $6.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.89.
What is the quality score of GOFPY?
Greek Org of Football Prognostics has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.91, optimistic scenario $8.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greek Org of Football Prognostics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.60, about −4% upside versus a price of $6.89 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $4.91, optimistic scenario $8.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Greek Org of Football Prognostics pay a dividend?
Greek Org of Football Prognostics currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Greek Org of Football Prognostics would have to grow free cash flow by -14.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GOFPY use?
Our models discount Greek Org of Football Prognostics at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Greek Org of Football Prognostics that is -14.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Greek Org of Football Prognostics grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies -14.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Greek Org of Football Prognostics (-14.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.82 %: that much free cash flow Greek Org of Football Prognostics produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greek Org of Football Prognostics it is $6.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.89. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greek Org of Football Prognostics stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GOFPY trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.89, fair value $6.60, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOFPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.60). For Greek Org of Football Prognostics the two are $0.2900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greek Org of Football Prognostics worth?
The market values Greek Org of Football Prognostics at about $12.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.89; our models calculate a fair value of $6.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOFPY?
Our models span a range for Greek Org of Football Prognostics: cautious scenario $4.91, base $6.60, optimistic $8.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GOFPY?
Greek Org of Football Prognostics trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.60 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greek Org of Football Prognostics (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 94.8%, debt of 1.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOFPY from its 52-week high?
Greek Org of Football Prognostics trades at $6.89, about 37% below its 52-week high of $10.91 and 1% above the low of $6.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greek Org of Football Prognostics?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Flutter Entertainment plc, Evolution AB, The Lottery Corporation, Rush Street Interactive, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greek Org of Football Prognostics stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.89, calculated fair value $6.60 (−4%), Quality Score 75/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOFPY calculated?
We run Greek Org of Football Prognostics through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Greek Org of Football Prognostics itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $6.89. Our model-based fair value is $6.60, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greek Org of Football Prognostics right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) come from?
Earnings per share at Greek Org of Football Prognostics grew +8.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.1 %, EBIT margin +1.8 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Greek Org of Football Prognostics
How large is the market capitalisation of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The market capitalisation of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is $12.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is 3.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
Earnings per share at Greek Org of Football Prognostics are $0.7500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The dividend yield of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is 9.4% (payout 86.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The net margin of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is 37.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is 94.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is 27.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
The operating margin of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
Revenue at Greek Org of Football Prognostics is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY)?
Earnings per share at Greek Org of Football Prognostics are growing −16.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Greek Org of Football Prognostics (GOFPY) carry?
The net debt of Greek Org of Football Prognostics is €201M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026