Golden Tobacco Limited (GOLDENTOBC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹442M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 175% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹48.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (₹48.19 to ₹89.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹21.41 – ₹181.75 · fair‑value band ₹48.19 – ₹89.49 · the ₹24.99 price screens below the ₹68.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Golden Tobacco Limited (GOLDENTOBC) currently trades at ₹24.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹68.84, implying the stock looks roughly 175.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Golden Tobacco Limited generated revenue of ₹327M at a net margin of 21.2%. Revenue declined 18.4% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹8.4M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹48.19 (bear case) to ₹89.49 (bull case); at ₹24.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 175%, GOLDENTOBC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹90.99) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.16). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Golden Tobacco Limited engages in the manufacturing, purchasing, processing, selling, and marketing tobacco and tobacco related products in India. The company offers cigarettes, slim/super slim cigarettes, cigars, cigarillos products, tobacco, and packed type cigarettes.
Full company description
Golden Tobacco Limited engages in the manufacturing, purchasing, processing, selling, and marketing tobacco and tobacco related products in India. The company offers cigarettes, slim/super slim cigarettes, cigars, cigarillos products, tobacco, and packed type cigarettes. It sells its products under the Panama, Chancellor, Golden's Gold Flake, Taj Chhap, Style, Esquire, Flair, June, and Just Black brand names. The company also exports its products to the United States, Europe, Russia, Singapore, Cambodia, Japan, the Middle East, and internationally. Golden Tobacco Limited was formerly known as GTC Industries Ltd. and changed its name to Golden Tobacco Limited in July 2008. Golden Tobacco Limited was founded in 1930 and is based in Vadodara, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2017 – FY2021 · reported fiscal years
Golden Tobacco Limited reported revenue of ₹418M in FY2021 versus ₹456M in FY2017, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹76.3M in FY2021.
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Peer Group
Tobacco · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Morris International Inc PM | $186.19 | $103.71 | -44% |
| British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI | $55.84 | $61.07 | +9% |
| Altria Group MO | $64.38 | $81.81 | +27% |
| KT&G Corporation 033780 | 177,400 KRW | 110,656 KRW | -38% |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP | 730.00 IDR | 1,041 IDR | +43% |
| Smoore International Holdings 6969 | HK$8.76 | HK$4.19 | -52% |
| Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP | ₹2,160 | ₹1,194 | -45% |
| PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM | 19,575 IDR | 16,988 IDR | -13% |
| TABAK TABAK | 18,700 CZK | 23,215 CZK | +24% |
| China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 | HK$22.82 | HK$24.09 | +6% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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