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Green Brick Partners, Inc (GRBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.0B

Price$74.55
Fair Value$122.84
Upside+64.8%
Quality91/100
Evidence: High Range $62.17 – $199.65

Analysis

Green Brick Partners, Inc (GRBK) currently trades at $74.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $122.84 — implying the stock looks roughly 64.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Green Brick Partners, Inc., the third-largest homebuilder in Dallas-Fort Worth and one of Fortune Magazine's fastest-growing companies. It is a diversified homebuilding and land development company operating through its seven subsidiary homebuilders in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick owns five subsidiary homebuilders in Texas (CB JENI Homes, Normandy Homes, Southgate Homes, Trophy Signature Homes, and a 90% interest in Centre Living Homes), as well as a controlling interest in a homebuilder in Atlanta, Georgia (The Providence Group) and an 80% interest in a homebuilder in Port St. Lucie, Florida (GHO Homes). Green Brick also holds interests in related financial services platforms, including Green Brick Title, Green Brick Mortgage, and Green Brick Insurance. The company and its affiliated builders are involved in all aspects of the homebuilding process, including land acquisition, development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and sales for its residential neigh…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.