GRGD.TO (GRGD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GRGD.TO C$67.52, price C$52.82, upside +27.8%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch GRGD.TO for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range C$10.25 – C$97.45 · fair‑value band C$41.28 – C$87.77 · the C$52.82 price screens below the C$67.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow GRGD.TO in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether GRGD.TO is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Groupe Dynamite Inc. designs, distributes, and sells women's apparel under the Dynamite and Garage brand names in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Show more
Groupe Dynamite Inc. designs, distributes, and sells women's apparel under the Dynamite and Garage brand names in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The company offers a range of women's fashion apparel, such as blouses, tops, tees and tanks, sweaters and cardigans, bodysuits, dresses, jeans and denim, pants, skirts and skorts, shorts, blazers and vets, coats and jackets, bottoms, sweatsuits, activewear, swimwear, as well as fleece, and lounge and sleep products. It also offers accessories, including jewelry, earrings, necklaces, rings, bracelets, hair accessories, belts, sunglasses, hats and caps, socks and tights, shoes, and beauty and perfume products. The company offers its products through retail and corporate stores; and online e-commerce sites comprising Garageclothing.com and Dynamiteclothing.com. Groupe Dynamite Inc. was founded in 1975 and is based in Mount Royal, Canada. Groupe Dynamite Inc. is a subsidiary of 4370368 Canada Inc.
Stock analysis
GRGD.TO (GRGD) currently trades at C$52.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$67.52, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$77.14 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the C$52.82 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at C$14.45, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$41.28 (bear) to C$87.77 (bull), the price of C$52.82 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
GRGD.TO reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2026 versus C$628M in FY2022, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$252M in FY2026, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap C$6.0B (≈ $4.3B) · P/E ratio 33.4 · P/S ratio 6.43 · EPS (TTM) C$2.20 · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin 19.2% · Return on equity 214% · Return on assets (EBIT) 33.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 28%, GRGD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$41.28Fair Value C$67.52Bull C$87.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$1.42 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+36.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+46.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+41.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 29%
2026 sits 176% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.7% a year for the price and +11.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 103 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+29% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)272% · Top 25%
Return on assets35% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GRGD.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRGD
Frequently asked questions
Is GRGD.TO (GRGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$67.52 versus a price of C$52.82, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GRGD?
Our model-based fair value for GRGD.TO is C$67.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$52.82.
What is the quality score of GRGD?
GRGD.TO has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$67.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$41.28, optimistic scenario C$87.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GRGD.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$67.52, about +28% upside versus a price of C$52.82 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$41.28, optimistic scenario C$87.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
GRGD.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GRGD.TO pay a dividend?
GRGD.TO currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.95% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GRGD.TO would have to grow free cash flow by +6.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +20.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRGD use?
Our models discount GRGD.TO at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GRGD.TO that is +6.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GRGD.TO (GRGD) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at GRGD.TO grew +20.2 % a year. The price currently implies +6.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GRGD.TO (GRGD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GRGD.TO (+6.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.54 %: that much free cash flow GRGD.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GRGD.TO it is C$67.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$52.82. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GRGD.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRGD trades below its calculated fair value: price C$52.82, fair value C$67.52, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRGD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$52.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$67.52). For GRGD.TO the two are C$14.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GRGD.TO worth?
The market values GRGD.TO at about C$6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$52.82; our models calculate a fair value of C$67.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRGD?
Our models span a range for GRGD.TO: cautious scenario C$41.28, base C$67.52, optimistic C$87.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$52.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRGD?
GRGD.TO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$67.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 45.1, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
Balance-sheet figures for GRGD.TO (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 271.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRGD from its 52-week high?
GRGD.TO trades at C$52.82, about 46% below its 52-week high of C$97.45 and 15% above the low of C$45.74 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$67.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GRGD.TO?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Fast Retailing Co, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GRGD.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$52.82, calculated fair value C$67.52 (+28%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRGD calculated?
We run GRGD.TO through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$67.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GRGD.TO currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$52.82. Our model-based fair value is C$67.52, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GRGD.TO right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (C$41.28 to C$87.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GRGD.TO
How large is the market capitalisation of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The market capitalisation of GRGD.TO is C$6.0B (≈ $4.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GRGD.TO is 6.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
Earnings per share at GRGD.TO are C$2.20 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The dividend yield of GRGD.TO is 5.0% (payout 119%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The net margin of GRGD.TO is 19.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GRGD.TO is 214% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GRGD.TO is 33.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
The operating margin of GRGD.TO is 29.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
Revenue at GRGD.TO is growing +45.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GRGD.TO (GRGD)?
Earnings per share at GRGD.TO are growing +142% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GRGD.TO (GRGD) carry?
The net debt of GRGD.TO is C$395M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch GRGD.TO in the live analysis
One click puts GRGD.TO on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026