Groupe Dynamite Inc (GRGD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$5.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from C$30.02 to C$44.05 (+46.7%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +26.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$55.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (21 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range C$10.25 – C$97.45 · fair‑value band C$33.04 – C$55.06 · the C$61.45 price screens above the C$44.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Groupe Dynamite Inc (GRGD) currently trades at C$61.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$44.05, implying the stock looks roughly 28.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Groupe Dynamite Inc generated revenue of C$1.3B at a net margin of 19.3%. Revenue grew 45.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 214.4%. Net debt stands at C$395M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$33.04 (bear case) to C$55.06 (bull case); at C$61.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 305% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -28%, GRGD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$104.43) versus Asset-Based (C$0.7600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Groupe Dynamite Inc. designs, distributes, and sells women's apparel under the Dynamite and Garage brand names in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Full company description
Groupe Dynamite Inc. designs, distributes, and sells women's apparel under the Dynamite and Garage brand names in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The company offers a range of women's fashion apparel, such as blouses, tops, tees and tanks, sweaters and cardigans, bodysuits, dresses, jeans and denim, pants, skirts and skorts, shorts, blazers and vets, coats and jackets, bottoms, sweatsuits, activewear, swimwear, as well as fleece, and lounge and sleep products. It also offers accessories, including jewelry, earrings, necklaces, rings, bracelets, hair accessories, belts, sunglasses, hats and caps, socks and tights, shoes, and beauty and perfume products. The company offers its products through retail and corporate stores; and online e-commerce sites comprising Garageclothing.com and Dynamiteclothing.com. Groupe Dynamite Inc. was founded in 1975 and is based in Mount Royal, Canada. Groupe Dynamite Inc. is a subsidiary of 4370368 Canada Inc.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Groupe Dynamite Inc reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2026 versus C$628M in FY2022, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$252M in FY2026, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2022.
GRGD screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Groupe Dynamite Q1 Adjusted Earnings and Revenue Jump; Tweaks FY26 Guidance
- Groupe Dynamite Announces $251 Million Secondary Offering Of Subordinate Voting Shares And $51 Million Share Buyback
- Groupe Dynamite Price Target Lifted to $125.00 at UBS on Attractive Growth Outlook
- Stifel Canada Raises Groupe Dynamite's Q4 EPS Estimate Ahead of April 1 Earnings Report
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A 1ITX | €58.44 | €23.29 | -60% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $154.46 | $84.95 | -45% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$40.00 | HK$15.37 | -62% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $233.46 | $118.41 | -49% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $327.72 | $147.08 | -55% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,903 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $116.33 | $299.63 | +158% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$160.05 | C$87.26 | -45% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.35 | $37.12 | +82% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $72.95 | $92.88 | +27% |
Compare Groupe Dynamite Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Groupe Dynamite Inc (GRGD) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of GRGD?
What is the quality score of GRGD?
What is the revenue of Groupe Dynamite Inc (GRGD)?
What is the net profit margin of GRGD?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Groupe Dynamite Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.