Grindr Inc (GRND) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $2.8B
Grindr Inc
GRND · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +3.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.65 to $10.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.65 – $36.50 · fair‑value band $5.65 – $10.59 · the $16.58 price screens above the $8.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Grindr Inc (GRND) currently trades at $16.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.12, implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grindr Inc generated revenue of $476M at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue grew 38.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 58.9%. Net debt stands at $314M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.65 (bear case) to $10.59 (bull case); at $16.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -51%, GRND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($21.82) versus Asset-Based ($0.1800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grindr Inc. operates a social networking and dating application for the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) communities worldwide. It manages and operates Grindr platform, a social networking platform serving and addressing the needs of gay, bisexual, and sexually explorative adults.
Full company description
Grindr Inc. operates a social networking and dating application for the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) communities worldwide. It manages and operates Grindr platform, a social networking platform serving and addressing the needs of gay, bisexual, and sexually explorative adults. It also offers Grindr as the Global Gayborhood in Your Pocket brand. In addition, the company provides ad-supported service and a premium subscription version. Grindr Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in West Hollywood, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grindr Inc reported revenue of $440M in FY2025 versus $146M in FY2021, a compound +31.8%/yr. Reported net income was $94.8M in FY2025, compounding +108.0%/yr from FY2021.
GRND screens 51% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Grindr CEO makes stunning AI reveal that changes the dating game
- Grindr Inc. (GRND) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates
- Grindr Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Revenue Growth of 33%, Raises Guidance
- Grindr Inc. (GRND) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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