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GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GSDDE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TR · Market cap 2.0B TRY

GD GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. GSDDE · IS
Price13.14 TRY
Fair Value21.20 TRY
Upside+61.3%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 33.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range 12.77 TRY – 26.51 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (12.77 TRY to 26.51 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

17.40 TRY 2.24 TRY Fair Value 21.20 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.24 TRY – 17.40 TRY · fair‑value band 12.77 TRY – 26.51 TRY · the 13.14 TRY price screens below the 21.20 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GSDDE) currently trades at 13.14 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.20 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 611M TRY at a net margin of 33.5%. Revenue grew 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at 59.1M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.77 TRY (bear case) to 26.51 TRY (bull case); at 13.14 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at 61%, GSDDE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 12.29 TRY 20.25 TRY 32.75 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.04 TRY 18.07 TRY 32.81 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 7.67 TRY 8.53 TRY 9.25 TRY 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 13.03 TRY 18.39 TRY 34.40 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 6.20 TRY 11.37 TRY 20.96 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 10.16 TRY 15.97 TRY 28.06 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 16.99 TRY 29.75 TRY 54.79 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 18.04 TRY 39.63 TRY 69.21 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 10.92 TRY 20.70 TRY 26.46 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 15.73 TRY 34.10 TRY 66.39 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 16.43 TRY 36.16 TRY 68.89 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.48 TRY 59.15 TRY 83.01 TRY 54
Lynch FV 30.56 TRY 43.66 TRY 56.75 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 30.56 TRY 43.66 TRY 56.75 TRY 46
EPV 7.67 TRY 8.53 TRY 9.25 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 18.71 TRY 24.95 TRY 31.18 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 7.31 TRY 9.75 TRY 12.18 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 15.90 TRY 21.20 TRY 26.51 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 13.19 TRY 17.12 TRY 21.06 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 18.57 TRY 24.30 TRY 30.03 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 8.20 TRY 11.12 TRY 14.05 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.27 TRY 12.42 TRY 18.54 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 12.29 TRY 20.25 TRY 32.75 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.04 TRY 18.07 TRY 32.81 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.01 TRY 14.31 TRY 14.01 TRY 61
ROIC Compounder 7.67 TRY 8.53 TRY 9.25 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 39.38 TRY 56.25 TRY 73.13 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (56.25 TRY) versus Economic Profit (8.53 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 611M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.4%
Net margin 33.5%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow 128M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 9.6
More key figures
Operating margin 23.5%
EPS (TTM) 1.37 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +180,996%
Net debt 59.1M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. engages in maritime sector activities. The company operates dry cargo transportation and logistics services. The company was formerly known as Tekstil Finansal Kiralama Anonim Sirketi and changed its name to GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. in August 2011.

Full company description

GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. engages in maritime sector activities. The company operates dry cargo transportation and logistics services. The company was formerly known as Tekstil Finansal Kiralama Anonim Sirketi and changed its name to GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. in August 2011. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey. GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. operates as a subsidiary of GSD Holding A.S.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 585M TRY in FY2025 versus 179M TRY in FY2021, a compound +34.5%/yr. Reported net income was 187M TRY in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
585M TRY
Latest YoY
−18.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+67.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+27.2%
Revenue +34.5%/yr
FY21 179M TRY
FY22 310M TRY
FY23 375M TRY
FY24 720M TRY
FY25 585M TRY
Net income +7.7%/yr
FY21 139M TRY
FY22 214M TRY
FY23 −440M TRY
FY24 −45.2M TRY
FY25 187M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSDDE

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 230 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.71× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 97 · sector 18
PAST 31 · sector 27
HEALTH 80 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GSDDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.20 TRY versus a price of 13.14 TRY, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GSDDE?
Our model-based fair value for GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is 21.20 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 13.14 TRY.
What is the quality score of GSDDE?
GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (GSDDE)?
GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 611M TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GSDDE?
The net profit margin of GSD Denizcilik Gayrimenkul Insaat Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is about 33.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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