GitLab Inc (GTLB) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $5.4B
GitLab Inc
GTLB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +22.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range $19.42 – $130.88 · fair‑value band $11.33 – $19.87 · the $38.97 price screens above the $15.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
GitLab Inc (GTLB) currently trades at $38.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.60, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, GitLab Inc generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of -2.5%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $230M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.33 (bear case) to $19.87 (bull case); at $38.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -60%, GTLB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($33.63) versus Asset-Based ($3.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GitLab Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops software for the software development lifecycle in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
Full company description
GitLab Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops software for the software development lifecycle in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides GitLab, an intelligent orchestration platform for DevSecOps, which is a single application offering the entire software development lifecycle, including software, project plans, code, security scans, compliance checks, and deployment configurations. It also offers the GitLab Duo Agent Platform, which enables intelligent orchestration of teams and AI agents to execute tasks autonomously across planning, development, security, and deployment. This platform combines conversational AI assistance, purpose-built agents for specialized tasks, workflow automation, and enterprise controls. In addition, it offers related training and professional services. The company was formerly known as GitLab B.V. and changed its name to GitLab Inc. in July 2015. GitLab Inc. was founded in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
GitLab Inc reported revenue of $955M in FY2026 versus $253M in FY2022, a compound +39.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$56.0M in FY2026.
GTLB screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- 3 Reasons Investors Love GitLab (GTLB)
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Unity Software, HubSpot and GitLab
- Is GitLab (GTLB) Fully Priced After Its Executive Shake Up?
- Should GitLab’s AI‑Driven DevSecOps Upgrades in Version 19.2 Require Action From GitLab (GTLB) Investors?
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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