Gitlab Inc (GTLB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Gitlab Inc $37.90, price $49.01, upside -22.7%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range $19.42 – $130.88 · fair‑value band $19.73 – $51.34 · the $49.01 price screens above the $37.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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GitLab Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops software for the software development lifecycle in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
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GitLab Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops software for the software development lifecycle in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides GitLab, an intelligent orchestration platform for DevSecOps, which is a single application offering the entire software development lifecycle, including software, project plans, code, security scans, compliance checks, and deployment configurations. It also offers the GitLab Duo Agent Platform, which enables intelligent orchestration of teams and AI agents to execute tasks autonomously across planning, development, security, and deployment. This platform combines conversational AI assistance, purpose-built agents for specialized tasks, workflow automation, and enterprise controls. In addition, it offers related training and professional services. The company was formerly known as GitLab B.V. and changed its name to GitLab Inc. in July 2015. GitLab Inc. was founded in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.
Stock analysis
Gitlab Inc (GTLB) currently trades at $49.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.90, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $38.61 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $49.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.96, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $19.73 (bear) to $51.34 (bull), the price of $49.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Gitlab Inc reported revenue of $955M in FY2026 versus $253M in FY2022, a compound +39.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$56.0M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $8.1B · P/S ratio 5.34 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1500 · Net margin −5.9% · Return on equity −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.7% · Operating margin −6.0% · Revenue (TTM) $1.0B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 152% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −23%, GTLB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $19.73Fair Value $37.90Bull $51.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.8%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
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’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−140.6% (2021) → −7.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+13.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.7% a year for the price and +11.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−23% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gitlab Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GTLB
Frequently asked questions
Is Gitlab Inc (GTLB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.90 versus a price of $49.01, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GTLB?
Our model-based fair value for Gitlab Inc is $37.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $49.01.
What is the quality score of GTLB?
Gitlab Inc has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $19.73, optimistic scenario $51.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gitlab Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.90, about −23% upside versus a price of $49.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $19.73, optimistic scenario $51.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
Gitlab Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gitlab Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +17.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +44.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GTLB use?
Our models discount Gitlab Inc at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.96, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gitlab Inc that is +17.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gitlab Inc (GTLB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gitlab Inc grew +44.4 % a year. The price currently implies +17.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gitlab Inc (GTLB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gitlab Inc (+17.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.73 %: that much free cash flow Gitlab Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gitlab Inc it is $37.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $49.01. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gitlab Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GTLB trades above its calculated fair value: price $49.01, fair value $37.90, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GTLB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($49.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.90). For Gitlab Inc the two are $11.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gitlab Inc worth?
The market values Gitlab Inc at about $8.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $49.01; our models calculate a fair value of $37.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GTLB?
Our models span a range for Gitlab Inc: cautious scenario $19.73, base $37.90, optimistic $51.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $49.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gitlab Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GTLB from its 52-week high?
Gitlab Inc trades at $49.01, about 4% below its 52-week high of $51.04 and 152% above the low of $19.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gitlab Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gitlab Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $49.01, calculated fair value $37.90 (−23%), Quality Score 58/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GTLB calculated?
We run Gitlab Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $37.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Gitlab Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $49.01. Our model-based fair value is $37.90, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gitlab Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($19.73 to $51.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Gitlab Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The market capitalisation of Gitlab Inc is $8.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gitlab Inc is 5.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
Earnings per share at Gitlab Inc are $−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The net margin of Gitlab Inc is −5.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gitlab Inc is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gitlab Inc is −11.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
The operating margin of Gitlab Inc is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gitlab Inc (GTLB)?
Revenue at Gitlab Inc is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Gitlab Inc (GTLB) hold?
Gitlab Inc holds more cash than debt, $230M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026