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GVC.TO (GVC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of GVC.TO C$0.85, price C$0.36, upside +136.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · CA · ISIN CA3763941026

GT GVC.TO logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

GVC.TO

GVC · TO

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value C$0.8500 · Strongly undervalued (+136.1%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

C$0.5000 C$0.0800 Fair Value C$0.8500 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.0800 – C$0.5000 · fair‑value band C$0.5700 – C$1.10 · the C$0.3600 price screens below the C$0.8500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Glacier Media Inc. operates as an information and marketing solutions company in Canada and the United States. It operates through four segments: Environmental Risk and Compliance Information, Commodity Information, Consumer Digital Information, and Print Community Media.

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Glacier Media Inc. operates as an information and marketing solutions company in Canada and the United States. It operates through four segments: Environmental Risk and Compliance Information, Commodity Information, Consumer Digital Information, and Print Community Media. The Environmental Risk and Compliance Information segment environmental risk data and related products to environmental consultants, CRE brokers, financial institutions, and insurance companies; and produces digital audit guides and compliance tools for use in environmental health and safety audits. This segment also licenses content and software platforms. The Commodity Information segment provides digital media and publications, listings, exhibitions, weather, and commodities marketing subscriptions for the Canadian grower and agricultural industry; and data and modelling tools in support of new mine development and investment decisions. This segment offers e-learning programs for the mining sector. The Consumer Digital Information segment offers local news sites; digital marketing services; breaking and community news; home seekers with real estate data and information to guide them in home buying and selling decisions; website design, social media management programmatic advertising and content marketing solutions, and brand videos; and advertising, lead generation, and subscription solutions to market their offerings to home buyers and sellers. This segment also licenses Villager, an industry-leading platform to digital publishers. The Print Community Media segment publishes local newspapers in British Columbia and Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as Glacier Ventures International Corp. and changed its name to Glacier Media Inc. in July 2008. Glacier Media Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Glacier Media Inc. is a subsidiary of Madison Venture Corporation.

Stock analysis

GVC.TO (GVC) currently trades at C$0.3600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.8500, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.8500 per share, and 20 of the 21 models we run sit above the C$0.3600 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.2200, and 1 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: C$0.5700 (bear) to C$1.10 (bull), the price of C$0.3600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

GVC.TO reported revenue of C$138M in FY2025 versus C$165M in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$6.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$47.2M (≈ $33.3M) · P/E ratio 5.1 · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0700 · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 28.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% · Operating margin −4.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 136%, GVC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.5700 Fair Value C$0.8500 Bull C$1.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0524 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$0.6100 C$1.01 C$1.64 79
Growth DCF C$0.6100 C$0.9900 C$1.57 77
Owner Earnings C$1.26 C$2.09 C$3.40 75
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$0.6100 C$1.01 C$1.64 79
Owner Earnings C$1.26 C$2.09 C$3.40 75
5Y Revenue Exit C$0.4800 C$0.7800 C$1.16 72
5Y EBITDA Exit C$0.5100 C$0.8400 C$1.24 74
5Y P/E Exit C$0.6900 C$1.19 C$1.74 70
10Y Revenue Exit C$0.5100 C$0.7900 C$1.20 66
10Y EBITDA Exit C$0.5400 C$0.8400 C$1.26 68
10Y P/E Exit C$0.6500 C$1.08 C$1.65 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$0.3300 C$1.32 C$1.79 64
Lynch FV C$0.3300 C$0.4600 C$0.6000 61
PEG = 1.0 C$0.3300 C$0.4600 C$0.6000 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$0.8100 C$1.08 C$1.35 63
P/S Multiple C$0.6200 C$0.8300 C$1.04 58
P/B Multiple C$0.6200 C$0.8300 C$1.04 55
EV/EBITDA C$0.5100 C$0.6800 C$0.8500 67
EV/Revenue C$0.4300 C$0.6100 C$0.7900 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1600 C$0.2200 C$0.3200 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$0.6100 C$0.9900 C$1.57 77
Rev-Margin DCF C$0.4800 C$0.7800 C$1.14 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$0.3200 C$0.4100 C$0.6300 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$0.5900 C$0.8500 C$1.10 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.6% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−30.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−30.1% vs 13.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−5% → −1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 105 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Below median
Fair Value upside +136.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 28.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −4.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.14× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 7.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The New York Times Company NYT $63.83 $42.10 −34%
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 ¥18.52 ¥21.02 +13%
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 ¥8.16 ¥9.14 +12%
People.cn CO., LTD 603000 ¥16.81 ¥4.23 −75%
China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 ¥10.18 ¥10.70 +5%
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 ¥22.11 ¥10.08 −54%
John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY $47.55 $61.03 +28%
Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 ¥7.54 ¥7.45 −1%
Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 ¥6.75 ¥11.60 +72%
Central China Land Media CO.,LTD, 000719 ¥12.09 ¥42.58 +252%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GVC.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GVC

Frequently asked questions

Is GVC.TO (GVC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.8500 versus a price of C$0.3600, about +136% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GVC?
Our model-based fair value for GVC.TO is C$0.8500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.3600.
What is the quality score of GVC?
GVC.TO has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GVC.TO (GVC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.8500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.5700, optimistic scenario C$1.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GVC.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.8500, about +136% upside versus a price of C$0.3600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.5700, optimistic scenario C$1.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GVC.TO (GVC)?
GVC.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$135M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into GVC.TO (GVC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GVC.TO would have to grow free cash flow by -9.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GVC use?
Our models discount GVC.TO at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GVC.TO that is -9.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GVC.TO (GVC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at GVC.TO grew -1.9 % a year. The price currently implies -9.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GVC.TO (GVC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GVC.TO (-9.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.04 %: that much free cash flow GVC.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GVC.TO (GVC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GVC.TO it is C$0.8500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.3600. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GVC.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GVC trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.3600, fair value C$0.8500, a gap of about +136% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GVC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.3600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.8500). For GVC.TO the two are C$0.4900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GVC.TO worth?
The market values GVC.TO at about C$47.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.3600; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.8500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GVC?
Our models span a range for GVC.TO: cautious scenario C$0.5700, base C$0.8500, optimistic C$1.10 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.3600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GVC?
GVC.TO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.8500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of GVC.TO (GVC)?
Balance-sheet figures for GVC.TO (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 28.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GVC from its 52-week high?
GVC.TO trades at C$0.3600, about 5% below its 52-week high of C$0.3800 and 125% above the low of C$0.1600 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.8500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GVC.TO?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GVC.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.3600, calculated fair value C$0.8500 (+136%), Quality Score 60/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GVC calculated?
We run GVC.TO through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.8500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. GVC.TO currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$0.3600. Our model-based fair value is C$0.8500, about +136% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GVC.TO right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.5700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (C$0.5700 to C$1.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of GVC.TO

How large is the market capitalisation of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The market capitalisation of GVC.TO is C$47.2M (≈ $33.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GVC.TO is 0.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GVC.TO (GVC)?
Earnings per share at GVC.TO are C$0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The net margin of GVC.TO is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GVC.TO is 28.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GVC.TO (GVC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GVC.TO is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GVC.TO (GVC)?
The operating margin of GVC.TO is −4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GVC.TO (GVC)?
Revenue at GVC.TO is growing −8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GVC.TO (GVC)?
Earnings per share at GVC.TO are growing +181% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GVC.TO (GVC) carry?
The net debt of GVC.TO is C$6.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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