Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GZNMI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 3.8B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +9.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (39.14 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (17.62 TRY to 39.14 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range 5.92 TRY – 316.50 TRY · fair‑value band 17.62 TRY – 39.14 TRY · the 60.30 TRY price screens above the 28.38 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GZNMI) currently trades at 60.30 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 28.38 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 52.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 3.3B TRY at a net margin of -6.8%. Revenue declined 36.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.7%. Net debt stands at 953M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 17.62 TRY (bear case) to 39.14 TRY (bull case); at 60.30 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -53%, GZNMI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (60.18 TRY) versus Earnings-Based (11.11 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates as a tour operator in Turkey and internationally. It provides domestic hotels, international tours, flight ticket, cultural tours, hotels in Cyprus, cruise tours, hotels abroad, ship voyages, car rental, transfer services, train and bus ticket, insurance, and visa.
Full company description
Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates as a tour operator in Turkey and internationally. It provides domestic hotels, international tours, flight ticket, cultural tours, hotels in Cyprus, cruise tours, hotels abroad, ship voyages, car rental, transfer services, train and bus ticket, insurance, and visa. The company also offers ticket reservation procedures; tickets for air, sea, road and rail transportation; and wholesale and retail sells travel, tour, transportation and accommodation services. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Antalya, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gezinomi Seyahat Turizm Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 3.5B TRY in FY2025 versus 169M TRY in FY2021, a compound +112.7%/yr. Reported net income was −130M TRY in FY2025.
GZNMI screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →
Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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