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Helbor Empreendimentos S.A (HBOR3) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · BR · Market cap R$268M

HE Helbor Empreendimentos S.A HBOR3 · SA
PriceR$1.92
Fair ValueR$1.48
Upside-22.9%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.44% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range R$1.08 – R$4.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from R$1.49 to R$1.48 (−0.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +6.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (R$1.08 to R$4.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$8.32 R$1.24 Fair Value R$1.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$1.24 – R$8.32 · fair‑value band R$1.08 – R$4.46 · the R$1.92 price screens above the R$1.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Helbor Empreendimentos S.A (HBOR3) currently trades at R$1.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1.48, implying the stock looks roughly 22.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Helbor Empreendimentos S.A generated revenue of R$1.2B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at R$1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$1.08 (bear case) to R$4.46 (bull case); at R$1.92, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -23%, HBOR3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$6.70 R$6.10 R$3.72 76
Gordon GGM R$0.9800 R$1.50 R$1.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.9800 R$1.35 R$1.66 61
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit R$4.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit R$3.61 R$9.91 41
10Y EBITDA Exit R$2.95 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$0.9800 R$1.50 R$1.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$0.9800 R$1.35 R$1.66 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple R$1.08 R$1.44 R$1.80 58
P/B Multiple R$1.08 R$1.44 R$1.80 55
EV/EBIT R$8.07 R$13.83 R$19.58 53
EV/EBITDA R$5.56 R$10.47 R$15.39 54
EV/Revenue R$0.3300 R$4.41 R$8.49 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.45 R$7.30 R$10.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$6.70 R$6.10 R$3.72 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (R$7.30) versus Dividend Discount (R$1.35). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 0.5%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow R$6.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 50.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.2%
EPS (TTM) R$0.0400
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -74.5%
Net debt R$1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Helbor Empreendimentos S.A. engages in the real estate development business in Brazil. Its portfolio includes apartments, condominium houses, commercial buildings, urbanized lots, and hotel units, as well as provides project management services. The company was formerly known as Helbor Empreendimentos Imobiliarios Ltda.

Full company description

Helbor Empreendimentos S.A. engages in the real estate development business in Brazil. Its portfolio includes apartments, condominium houses, commercial buildings, urbanized lots, and hotel units, as well as provides project management services. The company was formerly known as Helbor Empreendimentos Imobiliarios Ltda. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Mogi das Cruzes, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Helbor Empreendimentos S.A reported revenue of R$1.1B in FY2025 versus R$948M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was R$11.3M in FY2025, compounding −42.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$1.1B
Latest YoY
−11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 R$948M
FY22 R$906M
FY23 R$1.3B
FY24 R$1.3B
FY25 R$1.1B
Net income −42.2%/yr
FY21 R$101M
FY22 R$51.1M
FY23 R$50.8M
FY24 R$56.5M
FY25 R$11.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −20.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share −11.3 pp

of which total revenue −2.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.7 pp

EBIT margin −0.1 pp
Tax rate −3.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HBOR3 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Helbor Empreendimentos S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HBOR3

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.92× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 6.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 37
FUTURE 79 · sector 10
PAST 11 · sector 16
HEALTH 54 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

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SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
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PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Helbor Empreendimentos S.A (HBOR3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$1.48 versus a price of R$1.92, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HBOR3?
Our model-based fair value for Helbor Empreendimentos S.A is R$1.48 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$1.92.
What is the quality score of HBOR3?
Helbor Empreendimentos S.A has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Helbor Empreendimentos S.A (HBOR3)?
Helbor Empreendimentos S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HBOR3?
The net profit margin of Helbor Empreendimentos S.A is about 0.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Helbor Empreendimentos S.A pay a dividend?
Helbor Empreendimentos S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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