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Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Hudson Technologies Inc $5.65, price $5.14, upside +9.9%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN US4441441098

HT Hudson Technologies Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Hudson Technologies Inc

HDSN · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $5.65 · Fairly valued (+10%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$14.96 $2.83 Fair Value $5.65 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.83 – $14.96 · fair‑value band $2.69 – $7.35 · the $5.14 price screens below the $5.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Hudson Technologies, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hudson Technologies Company, provides solutions to recurring problems within the refrigeration industry in the United States.

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Hudson Technologies, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hudson Technologies Company, provides solutions to recurring problems within the refrigeration industry in the United States. The company offers refrigerant and industrial gas; refrigerant management services comprising primarily of reclamation of refrigerants, laboratory testing through its laboratory, and banking storage services; and RefrigerantSide Services comprising system decontamination to remove moisture, oils, and other contaminants intended to restore systems to designed capacity. It also provides diagnostic services for use in the prediction of potential problems in air conditioning, process cooling, and refrigeration systems; Chiller Chemistry, which integrates several fluid tests of an operating system and the corresponding laboratory results into an engineering report; Fluid Chemistry for use in identification of systems that require further examination; and SmartEnergy OPS, a system for measuring, modifying, and improving the efficiency of energy systems, including air conditioning and refrigeration systems, in industrial and commercial applications. In addition, the company provides a snapshot of a packaged chiller's operating efficiency and health through ChillSmart, a maintenance tool. Further, it is involved in the generation of carbon offset projects. The company serves commercial, industrial, and governmental customers, as well as refrigerant wholesalers, distributors, contractors, and refrigeration equipment manufacturers. Hudson Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) currently trades at $5.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.65, implying the stock looks roughly 9.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $8.35 per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the $5.14 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $2.39, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.69 (bear) to $7.35 (bull), the price of $5.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Hudson Technologies Inc reported revenue of $247M in FY2025 versus $193M in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $16.7M in FY2025, compounding −15.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $240M · P/E ratio 24.5 · P/S ratio 1.65 · EPS (TTM) $0.2100 · Net margin 6.8% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.9% · Operating margin 9.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 10%, HDSN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.69 Fair Value $5.65 Bull $7.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1542 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $2.14 $2.39 $2.60 74
Owner Earnings $4.43 $7.50 $12.17 72
ROIC Compounder $2.14 $2.39 $2.60 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.43 $7.50 $12.17 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.69 $14.35 $19.88 61
Lynch FV $3.96 $5.65 $7.35 59
PEG = 1.0 $3.96 $5.65 $7.35 55
EPV $2.14 $2.39 $2.60 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.24 $8.32 $10.39 63
P/S Multiple $5.05 $6.73 $8.41 58
P/B Multiple $5.05 $6.73 $8.41 55
EV/EBIT $5.63 $7.51 $9.38 66
EV/EBITDA $5.70 $7.59 $9.49 67
EV/Revenue $4.02 $5.74 $7.46 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.89 $3.87 $5.78 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.19 $4.22 $3.93 68
ROIC Compounder $2.14 $2.39 $2.60 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.84 $8.35 $10.85 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.0% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11% vs 6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.29× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)47 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)14 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $469.72 $441.28 −6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $326.46 $148.97 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.72 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $286.97 $122.14 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 235.25 TWD −1%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,406 CHF 1,523 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.60 ¥68.03 −5%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 182.10 CHF 98.89 −46%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,455 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.20 $77.06 −28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.65 versus a price of $5.14, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HDSN?
Our model-based fair value for Hudson Technologies Inc is $5.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.14.
What is the quality score of HDSN?
Hudson Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.69, optimistic scenario $7.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hudson Technologies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.65, about +10% upside versus a price of $5.14 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $2.69, optimistic scenario $7.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Hudson Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $257M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hudson Technologies Inc it is $5.65 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.14. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hudson Technologies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HDSN trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.14, fair value $5.65, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HDSN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.65). For Hudson Technologies Inc the two are $0.5100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hudson Technologies Inc worth?
The market values Hudson Technologies Inc at about $240M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.14; our models calculate a fair value of $5.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HDSN?
Our models span a range for Hudson Technologies Inc: cautious scenario $2.69, base $5.65, optimistic $7.35 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HDSN?
Hudson Technologies Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.65 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 10.9.
What is the PEG ratio of HDSN?
The PEG ratio of Hudson Technologies Inc is 0.29 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hudson Technologies Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HDSN from its 52-week high?
Hudson Technologies Inc trades at $5.14, about 48% below its 52-week high of $9.98 and 6% above the low of $4.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hudson Technologies Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hudson Technologies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.14, calculated fair value $5.65 (+10%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HDSN calculated?
We run Hudson Technologies Inc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hudson Technologies Inc currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.14. Our model-based fair value is $5.65, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hudson Technologies Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($2.69 to $7.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) come from?
Earnings per share at Hudson Technologies Inc grew +14.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.2 %, EBIT margin +1.3 %, tax rate +2.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hudson Technologies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
The market capitalisation of Hudson Technologies Inc is $240M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hudson Technologies Inc is 1.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Earnings per share at Hudson Technologies Inc are $0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
The net margin of Hudson Technologies Inc is 6.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hudson Technologies Inc is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hudson Technologies Inc is 21.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
The operating margin of Hudson Technologies Inc is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Revenue at Hudson Technologies Inc is growing +7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN)?
Earnings per share at Hudson Technologies Inc are growing −48.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) generate?
The free cash flow of Hudson Technologies Inc is −$8.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) hold?
Hudson Technologies Inc holds more cash than debt, $34.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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