Heads UP Ventures Limited (HEADSUP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹155M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (₹1.69 to ₹3.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹6.05 – ₹24.45 · fair‑value band ₹1.69 – ₹3.20 · the ₹6.93 price screens above the ₹2.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Heads UP Ventures Limited (HEADSUP) currently trades at ₹6.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.57, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Heads UP Ventures Limited generated revenue of ₹173M at a net margin of -0.2%. Revenue grew 119.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹10.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹1.69 (bear case) to ₹3.20 (bull case); at ₹6.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -63%, HEADSUP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Heads UP Ventures Limited operates fashion apparels and accessories business in India and internationally. It retails and distributes shirts, t-shirt, jackets, hoodies, sweatshirts, caps, hats, socks, underwear, belts, bags, and flip flops. It offers its products under the HUP and Device of Turtle brand names and, as well as through e-commerce platform.
Full company description
Heads UP Ventures Limited operates fashion apparels and accessories business in India and internationally. It retails and distributes shirts, t-shirt, jackets, hoodies, sweatshirts, caps, hats, socks, underwear, belts, bags, and flip flops. It offers its products under the HUP and Device of Turtle brand names and, as well as through e-commerce platform. The company was formerly known as The Mandhana Retail Ventures Limited and changed its name to Heads UP Ventures Limited in May 2022. Heads UP Ventures Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Palghar, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Heads UP Ventures Limited reported revenue of ₹173M in FY2026 versus ₹9.7M in FY2022, a compound +105.2%/yr. Reported net income was −₹326K in FY2026.
HEADSUP screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 108 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX | 246.10 PLN | 189.40 PLN | -23% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $152.61 | $84.95 | -44% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$37.80 | HK$15.21 | -60% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $248.25 | $118.41 | -52% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $353.63 | $143.65 | -59% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,990 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $120.87 | $299.63 | +148% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$140.07 | C$70.30 | -50% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.96 | $36.44 | +74% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $79.43 | $92.88 | +17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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