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Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Holmes Place International Ltd ILS 6.40, price ILS 5.71, upside +12.1%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · Il · ISIN IL0011425878

HP Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Holmes Place International Ltd

HLMS · TA

SpeculativeQuality growthUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value 6.40 ILA · Undervalued (+12%)

!Quality 39/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +24.6 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.0% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (12/14)

!Moderate moat 56/100

!Insider activity 46/100

!Weak on future: 20 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear 4.11 ILA to bull 8.86 ILA Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 39/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range 2.32 ILA – 7.34 ILA · fair‑value band 4.11 ILA – 8.86 ILA · the 5.71 ILA price screens below the 6.40 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Holmes Place International Ltd manages and operates health and fitness clubs under the Holmes Place brands. The company also operates wellness, spa, and nutritionists related services. The company was founded in 1979 and is based in Or Akiva, Israel.

Stock analysis

Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS) currently trades at 5.71 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.40 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 12.74 ILA per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 5.71 ILA price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.16 ILA, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 4.11 ILA (bear) to 8.86 ILA (bull), the price of 5.71 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Holmes Place International Ltd reported revenue of 589M ILS in FY2025 versus 311M ILS in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was 27.6M ILS in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 580M ILA · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) 0.3000 ILA · Dividend yield 6.4% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 21.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at 12%, HLMS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 4.11 ILA Fair Value 6.40 ILA Bull 8.86 ILA

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2203 ILS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF 11.99 ILA 18.59 ILA 27.68 ILA 80

Growth DCF 11.83 ILA 17.65 ILA 25.16 ILA 78

Owner Earnings 11.85 ILA 18.37 ILA 27.36 ILA 76

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF 11.99 ILA 18.59 ILA 27.68 ILA 80

Owner Earnings 11.85 ILA 18.37 ILA 27.36 ILA 76

5Y Revenue Exit 7.41 ILA 10.96 ILA 15.41 ILA 73

5Y EBITDA Exit 15.35 ILA 26.84 ILA 40.91 ILA 74

5Y P/E Exit 7.03 ILA 10.20 ILA 13.55 ILA 71

10Y Revenue Exit 9.10 ILA 12.74 ILA 17.62 ILA 67

10Y EBITDA Exit 13.67 ILA 22.51 ILA 35.33 ILA 67

10Y P/E Exit 9.00 ILA 12.27 ILA 16.34 ILA 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd 1.84 ILA 7.70 ILA 10.51 ILA 64

Lynch FV 1.95 ILA 2.79 ILA 3.62 ILA 61

PEG = 1.0 1.95 ILA 2.79 ILA 3.62 ILA 57

EPV 5.49 ILA 6.21 ILA 6.79 ILA 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM 2.60 ILA 4.35 ILA 5.64 ILA 68

DDM Multi-Stage 2.60 ILA 4.12 ILA 4.68 ILA 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple 4.47 ILA 5.96 ILA 7.44 ILA 63

P/S Multiple 3.45 ILA 4.60 ILA 5.75 ILA 58

P/B Multiple 3.45 ILA 4.60 ILA 5.75 ILA 55

EV/EBIT 12.07 ILA 16.26 ILA 20.45 ILA 66

EV/EBITDA 19.84 ILA 26.62 ILA 33.40 ILA 67

EV/Revenue 4.35 ILA 6.43 ILA 8.50 ILA 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) 0.8600 ILA 1.16 ILA 1.73 ILA 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF 11.83 ILA 17.65 ILA 25.16 ILA 78

Rev-Margin DCF 7.41 ILA 11.10 ILA 15.75 ILA 72

Economic Profit

Residual Income 1.59 ILA 1.85 ILA 2.78 ILA 75

ROIC Compounder 5.95 ILA 7.25 ILA 8.66 ILA 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E 3.42 ILA 4.88 ILA 6.34 ILA 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 31

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 42

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 71

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 19

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 46

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 84

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 25

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 8

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 24

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+6.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.5%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+24.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.3% a year

Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

+29.6%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+23.2%

Dividend (yield on the price)6.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs 14%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−25% → 16%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−1.4%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 189 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside +10% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%

Return on assets 4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 4% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.41× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.0× · Cheaper than median

P/B 1.10× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 1.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 41

FUTURE (revenue growth)20 · sector 14

PAST (return on equity)87 · sector 19

HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Holmes Place International Ltd · Fair Value
6.40 ILA +11%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Holmes Place International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLMS

Frequently asked questions

Is Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.40 ILA versus a price of 5.71 ILA, about +12% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of HLMS?

Our model-based fair value for Holmes Place International Ltd is 6.40 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.71 ILA.

What is the quality score of HLMS?

Holmes Place International Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.40 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.11 ILA, optimistic scenario 8.86 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Holmes Place International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at 6.40 ILA, about +12% upside versus a price of 5.71 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 4.11 ILA, optimistic scenario 8.86 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Holmes Place International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 594M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Holmes Place International Ltd pay a dividend?

Holmes Place International Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Holmes Place International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -1.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HLMS use?

Our models discount Holmes Place International Ltd at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Holmes Place International Ltd that is -1.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Holmes Place International Ltd grew +24.6 % a year. The price currently implies -1.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Holmes Place International Ltd (-1.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.27 %: that much free cash flow Holmes Place International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Holmes Place International Ltd it is 6.40 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5.71 ILA. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Holmes Place International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, HLMS trades below its calculated fair value: price 5.71 ILA, fair value 6.40 ILA, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of HLMS?

No. The price is what the market pays today (5.71 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.40 ILA). For Holmes Place International Ltd the two are 0.6920 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Holmes Place International Ltd worth?

The market values Holmes Place International Ltd at about 580M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5.71 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 6.40 ILA per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HLMS?

Our models span a range for Holmes Place International Ltd: cautious scenario 4.11 ILA, base 6.40 ILA, optimistic 8.86 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5.71 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of HLMS?

Holmes Place International Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 6.40 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.8.

How solid is the balance sheet of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Balance-sheet figures for Holmes Place International Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.8%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is HLMS from its 52-week high?

Holmes Place International Ltd trades at 5.71 ILA, about 22% below its 52-week high of 7.29 ILA and 2% above the low of 5.63 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.40 ILA is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Holmes Place International Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value ANTA Sports Products Limited, Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Holmes Place International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5.71 ILA, calculated fair value 6.40 ILA (+12%), Quality Score 39/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of HLMS calculated?

We run Holmes Place International Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6.40 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Holmes Place International Ltd currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 5.71 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 6.40 ILA, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Holmes Place International Ltd right now?

A fairly wide model range (4.11 ILA to 8.86 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Holmes Place International Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The market capitalisation of Holmes Place International Ltd is 580M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Holmes Place International Ltd is 0.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Earnings per share at Holmes Place International Ltd are 0.3000 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The dividend yield of Holmes Place International Ltd is 6.4% (payout 121%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The net margin of Holmes Place International Ltd is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Holmes Place International Ltd is 21.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Holmes Place International Ltd is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

The operating margin of Holmes Place International Ltd is 18.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Revenue at Holmes Place International Ltd is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS)?

Earnings per share at Holmes Place International Ltd are growing +11.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Holmes Place International Ltd (HLMS) carry?

The net debt of Holmes Place International Ltd is 1.2B ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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